{ "episode": { "season": 51, "episode": 3, "air_date": "2026-10-07", "title": "What I’m Smellin’ Is Stinky", "cutoff": "2026-10-09T06:27:24Z" }, "records": [ { "id": "IP01", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Patt" ], "recipients": [ "Brady" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-011", "EVD-S51E03-012", "EVD-S51E03-026", "EVD-S51E03-029" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RECORD", "resource": "Kilby’s reported remark", "action": "Relays the remark", "observed_response": "Brady interprets himself as a pawn and rejects that role", "power_state": "DEMONSTRATED_POWER", "effectiveness": "WORKED", "attribution": "DIRECTLY_ATTRIBUTED_CONTRIBUTION", "magnitude": "Brady’s stated assessment and target intention", "durability": "CURRENT_EPISODE_RESPONSE_ONLY; NO_LATER_EPISODE_CLAIM", "limit": "The reaction does not secure a majority, assign his ballot or prove this remark alone caused his plan.", "qualifying_episode_use": true, "counting_unit": "ONE_BOUNDED_EVENT_RESPONSE; NOT_A_PLAYER_SCORE", "occurrence_confidence": "SUPPORTED_TEXT_RECORD_WITH_DECLARED_ATTRIBUTION_LIMITS", "actor_intent_confidence": "STATED_WHERE_AVAILABLE; OTHERWISE_BOUNDED_INFERENCE_OR_UNKNOWN", "recipient_effect_confidence": "ONLY_THE_RESPONSE_NAMED_HERE", "group_contribution_confidence": "NO_WHOLE_GROUP_MOTIVE_OR_SOLE_CONTROL", "conversion_status": "NO_LATER_CONVERSION_ASSUMED", "display": { "actor": "Patt", "recipient": "Brady", "action": "Relays Kilby’s remark", "response": "Changes Brady’s stated view of Kilby" }, "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-011", "event_group": 4, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 304, "cue_end": 333, "time_start": "00:13:44,057", "time_end": "00:14:52,892" }, "speakers": [ "Kilby", "unresolved partner" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Kilby describes concerns about Devin, says he wants reliable numbers, and uses a disconnected-controller comparison about Brady.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Own stated aim and presented wording; not proof he controls numbers or what Brady thinks.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-012", "event_group": 4, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 334, "cue_end": 356, "time_start": "00:14:52,992", "time_end": "00:15:36,335" }, "speakers": [ "Patt", "Brady", "additional unresolved speakers" ], "recipients": [ "Brady" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RECIPIENT_EFFECT", "paraphrase": "Patt relays the controller comparison. Brady interprets it as being treated as a pawn and rejects working for someone else.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Distinguish the relayed wording, Brady’s response and broader voting intent; whole-group change unproven.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-026", "event_group": 10, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1146, "cue_end": 1199, "time_start": "00:45:48,279", "time_end": "00:47:48,933" }, "speakers": [ "Kilby", "Devin", "Toka five members (turns not all identified)" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Kilby tentatively names Patt, Jelly and Brady as sources of Devin’s criticism; Devin rejects that account. The five seek six votes against Kilby and identify Carter/Lewis as uncertain.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Preserve the tension with Devin’s earlier public criticism and distinguish denial from fact. No unanimous private motive or six firm commitments established.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-029", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1280, "cue_end": 1308, "time_start": "00:50:55,853", "time_end": "00:51:59,817" }, "speakers": [ "Brady", "five members (not all identifiable)" ], "recipients": [ "five" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Brady says Kilby does not know he is upset, describes being on both sides, and intends to target Kilby while outwardly agreeing with alternative targets.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Actor intention and confidence do not establish compliance or control of the eventual vote.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } ] }, { "id": "IP02", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Toka clue-discovery group; Lewis reported as bag-searcher; exact relay speaker unresolved" ], "recipients": [ "Brady", "Maggie" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-018", "EVD-S51E03-019", "EVD-S51E03-020" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RECORD", "resource": "Location in Carter’s letter", "action": "Location becomes known and is acted on", "observed_response": "Search/opening of the oars produces the extra vote", "power_state": "DEMONSTRATED_POWER", "effectiveness": "WORKED", "attribution": "SUPPORTED_CONTRIBUTION", "magnitude": "Two identified searchers and the retrieved resource", "durability": "CURRENT_EPISODE_RESPONSE_ONLY; NO_LATER_EPISODE_CLAIM", "limit": "Do not credit Lewis with every oral relay or the whole retrieval; physical access and joint work also contribute.", "qualifying_episode_use": true, "counting_unit": "ONE_BOUNDED_EVENT_RESPONSE; NOT_A_PLAYER_SCORE", "occurrence_confidence": "SUPPORTED_TEXT_RECORD_WITH_DECLARED_ATTRIBUTION_LIMITS", "actor_intent_confidence": "STATED_WHERE_AVAILABLE; OTHERWISE_BOUNDED_INFERENCE_OR_UNKNOWN", "recipient_effect_confidence": "ONLY_THE_RESPONSE_NAMED_HERE", "group_contribution_confidence": "NO_WHOLE_GROUP_MOTIVE_OR_SOLE_CONTROL", "conversion_status": "NO_LATER_CONVERSION_ASSUMED", "display": { "actor": "Clue-discovery group", "recipient": "Brady + Maggie", "action": "Reveals the extra-vote location", "response": "Prompts the search and retrieval" }, "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-018", "event_group": 7, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 557, "cue_end": 576, "time_start": "00:22:57,776", "time_end": "00:24:04,777" }, "speakers": [ "Lewis", "unresolved Toka players" ], "recipients": [ "Toka" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Lewis describes looking in Carter’s bag; an envelope reveals the paddle clue, and players search the oars.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Text plus corroborated attribution; no complete visually observed search sequence or list of all participants.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-019", "event_group": 7, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 577, "cue_end": 609, "time_start": "00:24:06,045", "time_end": "00:25:21,120" }, "speakers": [ "Brady", "Maggie" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Brady and Maggie open an oar, locate the advantage, and discuss cooperating and ownership.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Physical details are text-reported; no independent competence/deference finding.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-020", "event_group": 7, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 610, "cue_end": 629, "time_start": "00:25:21,220", "time_end": "00:25:58,223" }, "speakers": [ "Brady", "Maggie (rule reader not fully resolved)" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "The extra-vote text expires at six remaining and extends through a tie/revote. Maggie asks for it; Brady seeks a vote-alignment promise and gives her the advantage.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Access/transfer and a stated promise are separate from compliance. No deployment or successful enforcement is shown.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } ] }, { "id": "IP03", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Devin" ], "recipients": [ "Ori" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-016" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RECORD", "resource": "Knowledge of Devin’s new advantage", "action": "Discloses it to his existing ally", "observed_response": "Ori says the disclosure reassures him that Devin still remembers their alliance", "power_state": "DEMONSTRATED_POWER", "effectiveness": "WORKED", "attribution": "DIRECTLY_ATTRIBUTED_CONTRIBUTION", "magnitude": "Ori’s stated perception of continued alliance attention", "durability": "CURRENT_EPISODE_RESPONSE_ONLY; NO_LATER_EPISODE_CLAIM", "limit": "No future ballot, protection, broad tribe trust or separate counted Referent effect is established by that statement.", "qualifying_episode_use": true, "counting_unit": "ONE_BOUNDED_EVENT_RESPONSE; NOT_A_PLAYER_SCORE", "occurrence_confidence": "SUPPORTED_TEXT_RECORD_WITH_DECLARED_ATTRIBUTION_LIMITS", "actor_intent_confidence": "STATED_WHERE_AVAILABLE; OTHERWISE_BOUNDED_INFERENCE_OR_UNKNOWN", "recipient_effect_confidence": "ONLY_THE_RESPONSE_NAMED_HERE", "group_contribution_confidence": "NO_WHOLE_GROUP_MOTIVE_OR_SOLE_CONTROL", "conversion_status": "NO_LATER_CONVERSION_ASSUMED", "display": { "actor": "Devin", "recipient": "Ori", "action": "Discloses his new advantage", "response": "Reassures Ori about their alliance" }, "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-016", "event_group": 6, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 630, "cue_end": 698, "time_start": "00:26:00,192", "time_end": "00:28:19,865" }, "speakers": [ "Devin", "Ori", "unresolved Savu listeners" ], "recipients": [ "Ori", "Savu" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RECIPIENT_EFFECT", "paraphrase": "Devin criticizes Kilby, discloses the advantage to Ori, and returns to Toka. Ori says the disclosure matters because Devin still remembers their alliance.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Devin’s claims about Kilby remain attributed. Ori’s response is bounded to his stated trust, not a future vote or whole-tribe agreement.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } ] }, { "id": "IP04", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Thien An" ], "recipients": [ "presented countertarget group; individual replies partly unresolved" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-028", "EVD-S51E03-030", "EVD-S51E03-032", "EVD-S51E03-041" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RECORD", "resource": "Comparative framing of Patt and Mike as targets", "action": "Argues for Patt because she perceives greater ability to connect elsewhere", "observed_response": "Recorded group agreement chooses Patt; formal result is consistent", "power_state": "CONVERTED_POWER", "effectiveness": "WORKED", "attribution": "SUPPORTED_CONTRIBUTION", "magnitude": "Target choice and bounded contribution to the six-ballot result", "durability": "CURRENT_EPISODE_RESPONSE_ONLY; NO_LATER_EPISODE_CLAIM", "limit": "No sole authorship, full adopter map, identical motives or proven future social reach by Patt.", "qualifying_episode_use": true, "counting_unit": "ONE_BOUNDED_EVENT_RESPONSE; NOT_A_PLAYER_SCORE", "occurrence_confidence": "SUPPORTED_TEXT_RECORD_WITH_DECLARED_ATTRIBUTION_LIMITS", "actor_intent_confidence": "STATED_WHERE_AVAILABLE; OTHERWISE_BOUNDED_INFERENCE_OR_UNKNOWN", "recipient_effect_confidence": "ONLY_THE_RESPONSE_NAMED_HERE", "group_contribution_confidence": "NO_WHOLE_GROUP_MOTIVE_OR_SOLE_CONTROL", "conversion_status": "NO_LATER_CONVERSION_ASSUMED", "display": { "actor": "Thien An", "recipient": "Countertarget group", "action": "Argues for Patt over Mike", "response": "Group agrees on Patt" }, "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-028", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1231, "cue_end": 1279, "time_start": "00:49:16,053", "time_end": "00:50:55,753" }, "speakers": [ "Kilby", "Maggie", "additional unresolved speakers" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Countertarget conversations protect some personal ties, discuss Mike, and show disagreement over whether Brady is aligned with Kilby.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Personal preferences and claimed ally priority are distinct from confirmed commitments.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-030", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1309, "cue_end": 1347, "time_start": "00:51:59,917", "time_end": "00:53:18,028" }, "speakers": [ "Lewis", "Thien An", "Carter", "Kilby", "additional responders not all identified" ], "recipients": [ "countertarget group" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Lewis says he does not want the five to control the game. Thien An favors Patt over Mike because she sees Patt as better able to form other connections; recorded replies agree and request secrecy.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Thien An’s risk assessment is her belief, not demonstrated future influence by Patt; recipient turns are partly unresolved.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-032", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1367, "cue_end": 1391, "time_start": "00:54:10,047", "time_end": "00:55:17,548" }, "speakers": [ "Lewis", "Carter" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Lewis describes Carter as an opportunity to act together; they weigh joining the five against having greater room in the other group.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Their discussion supports their stated choice criteria, not all six voters’ reasons or durable control.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-041", "event_group": 13, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1499, "cue_end": 1534, "time_start": "01:00:03,967", "time_end": "01:03:35,011" }, "speakers": [ "Jeff", "unresolved voting speakers" ], "recipients": [ "Toka" ], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "The read alternates Kilby and Patt to five each with one ballot left; the final ballot eliminates Patt. Eleven counted ballots produce six Patt, five Kilby.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Final total is corroborated. Individual voter identities/extra-vote mechanics are not established by read order. The host’s ordinal wording conflicts with three vote exits versus four total departures.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } ] }, { "id": "IP05", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Thien An" ], "recipients": [ "Brady" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-031", "EVD-S51E03-041" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RECORD", "resource": "Information that the target discussion includes Patt", "action": "Communicates the contrary target information", "observed_response": "Brady questions then rejects the stated likelihood of that plan succeeding", "power_state": "POWER_ATTEMPT", "effectiveness": "FAILED", "attribution": "CONTRADICTED", "magnitude": "Failure to change Brady’s expressed assessment at this checkpoint", "durability": "CURRENT_EPISODE_RESPONSE_ONLY; NO_LATER_EPISODE_CLAIM", "limit": "Failure is bounded to his recorded response; the warning’s private purpose, every unseen action and preventability of Patt’s exit remain unknown.", "qualifying_episode_use": true, "counting_unit": "ONE_BOUNDED_EVENT_RESPONSE; NOT_A_PLAYER_SCORE", "occurrence_confidence": "SUPPORTED_TEXT_RECORD_WITH_DECLARED_ATTRIBUTION_LIMITS", "actor_intent_confidence": "STATED_WHERE_AVAILABLE; OTHERWISE_BOUNDED_INFERENCE_OR_UNKNOWN", "recipient_effect_confidence": "ONLY_THE_RESPONSE_NAMED_HERE", "group_contribution_confidence": "NO_WHOLE_GROUP_MOTIVE_OR_SOLE_CONTROL", "conversion_status": "NO_LATER_CONVERSION_ASSUMED", "display": { "actor": "Thien An", "recipient": "Brady", "action": "Warns that Patt is a target", "response": "Brady dismisses the plan’s chances" }, "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-031", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1348, "cue_end": 1366, "time_start": "00:53:18,128", "time_end": "00:54:01,271" }, "speakers": [ "Thien An", "Brady" ], "recipients": [ "Brady" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RECIPIENT_EFFECT", "paraphrase": "Thien An warns Brady that Patt’s name is being discussed. Brady questions the report and says her plan cannot succeed because his group is larger.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "No evidence in this Episode text that Brady relays the warning to Patt; the next shown outcome is not sole-cause proof.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-041", "event_group": 13, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1499, "cue_end": 1534, "time_start": "01:00:03,967", "time_end": "01:03:35,011" }, "speakers": [ "Jeff", "unresolved voting speakers" ], "recipients": [ "Toka" ], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "The read alternates Kilby and Patt to five each with one ballot left; the final ballot eliminates Patt. Eleven counted ballots produce six Patt, five Kilby.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Final total is corroborated. Individual voter identities/extra-vote mechanics are not established by read order. The host’s ordinal wording conflicts with three vote exits versus four total departures.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } ] }, { "id": "IP06", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Carter" ], "recipients": [ "Brady" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-021" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RECORD", "resource": "Knowledge of the visitor advantage opportunity", "action": "Minimizes/denies the additional opportunity", "observed_response": "Brady explicitly says he recognizes the deception", "power_state": "POWER_ATTEMPT", "effectiveness": "FAILED", "attribution": "CONTRADICTED", "magnitude": "Failure to create the stated false impression in Brady", "durability": "CURRENT_EPISODE_RESPONSE_ONLY; NO_LATER_EPISODE_CLAIM", "limit": "This is failed concealment at one recipient; it does not prove the idol was publicly known or that Carter’s whole visit failed.", "qualifying_episode_use": true, "counting_unit": "ONE_BOUNDED_EVENT_RESPONSE; NOT_A_PLAYER_SCORE", "occurrence_confidence": "SUPPORTED_TEXT_RECORD_WITH_DECLARED_ATTRIBUTION_LIMITS", "actor_intent_confidence": "STATED_WHERE_AVAILABLE; OTHERWISE_BOUNDED_INFERENCE_OR_UNKNOWN", "recipient_effect_confidence": "ONLY_THE_RESPONSE_NAMED_HERE", "group_contribution_confidence": "NO_WHOLE_GROUP_MOTIVE_OR_SOLE_CONTROL", "conversion_status": "NO_LATER_CONVERSION_ASSUMED", "display": { "actor": "Carter", "recipient": "Brady", "action": "Plays down the advantage opportunity", "response": "Brady recognizes the concealment" }, "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-021", "event_group": 8, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 704, "cue_end": 765, "time_start": "00:28:28,540", "time_end": "00:30:43,342" }, "speakers": [ "Carter", "Brady" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RECIPIENT_EFFECT", "paraphrase": "Carter probes tribe divisions and conceals the additional advantage opportunity. Brady says he knows Carter is lying but wants him as an ally; Carter treats Brady’s reassurance cautiously.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Record belief, concealment and conditional reassurance; neither durable loyalty nor vote choice follows automatically.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } ] }, { "id": "RP01", "base": "Reward", "actors": [ "Brady" ], "recipients": [ "Maggie" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-019", "EVD-S51E03-020" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RECORD", "resource": "The extra vote he can hand over", "action": "Conditions the transfer on alignment and gives it to her", "observed_response": "Maggie makes the requested verbal promise", "power_state": "POWER_ATTEMPT", "effectiveness": "INDETERMINATE", "attribution": "SUPPORTED_CONTRIBUTION", "magnitude": "A verbal agreement obtained; ballot compliance unverified", "durability": "CURRENT_EPISODE_RESPONSE_ONLY; NO_LATER_EPISODE_CLAIM", "limit": "Actual receipt of the resource is supported. Count the real conditional-benefit attempt once; do not count an additional reverse bargain or claim a purchased/compliant vote.", "qualifying_episode_use": true, "counting_unit": "ONE_BOUNDED_EVENT_RESPONSE; NOT_A_PLAYER_SCORE", "occurrence_confidence": "SUPPORTED_TEXT_RECORD_WITH_DECLARED_ATTRIBUTION_LIMITS", "actor_intent_confidence": "STATED_WHERE_AVAILABLE; OTHERWISE_BOUNDED_INFERENCE_OR_UNKNOWN", "recipient_effect_confidence": "ONLY_THE_RESPONSE_NAMED_HERE", "group_contribution_confidence": "NO_WHOLE_GROUP_MOTIVE_OR_SOLE_CONTROL", "conversion_status": "NO_LATER_CONVERSION_ASSUMED", "display": { "actor": "Brady", "recipient": "Maggie", "action": "Offers the extra vote for alignment", "response": "Promise obtained; ballot compliance unknown" }, "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-019", "event_group": 7, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 577, "cue_end": 609, "time_start": "00:24:06,045", "time_end": "00:25:21,120" }, "speakers": [ "Brady", "Maggie" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Brady and Maggie open an oar, locate the advantage, and discuss cooperating and ownership.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Physical details are text-reported; no independent competence/deference finding.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-020", "event_group": 7, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 610, "cue_end": 629, "time_start": "00:25:21,220", "time_end": "00:25:58,223" }, "speakers": [ "Brady", "Maggie (rule reader not fully resolved)" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "The extra-vote text expires at six remaining and extends through a tie/revote. Maggie asks for it; Brady seeks a vote-alignment promise and gives her the advantage.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Access/transfer and a stated promise are separate from compliance. No deployment or successful enforcement is shown.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } ] }, { "id": "REF01", "base": "Referent", "actors": [ "Carter" ], "recipients": [ "Brady" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-021", "EVD-S51E03-032", "EVD-S51E03-041" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RECORD", "resource": "Shared farm/football identity as perceived by Brady", "action": "Carter’s presence and conversation elicit Brady’s stated identification", "observed_response": "Brady explicitly wants to work with Carter and gives an alliance assurance", "power_state": "DEMONSTRATED_POWER", "effectiveness": "WORKED", "attribution": "STRONGLY_SUPPORTED_CONTRIBUTION", "magnitude": "Brady’s immediate decision to offer support", "durability": "CURRENT_EPISODE_RESPONSE_ONLY; NO_LATER_EPISODE_CLAIM", "limit": "The response is an offer, not actual protection or reciprocal loyalty. Strategic usefulness and physical ability also matter; Carter’s reported Patt vote prevents extending this into Brady controlling Carter.", "qualifying_episode_use": true, "counting_unit": "ONE_BOUNDED_EVENT_RESPONSE; NOT_A_PLAYER_SCORE", "occurrence_confidence": "SUPPORTED_TEXT_RECORD_WITH_DECLARED_ATTRIBUTION_LIMITS", "actor_intent_confidence": "STATED_WHERE_AVAILABLE; OTHERWISE_BOUNDED_INFERENCE_OR_UNKNOWN", "recipient_effect_confidence": "ONLY_THE_RESPONSE_NAMED_HERE", "group_contribution_confidence": "NO_WHOLE_GROUP_MOTIVE_OR_SOLE_CONTROL", "conversion_status": "NO_LATER_CONVERSION_ASSUMED", "display": { "actor": "Carter", "recipient": "Brady", "action": "Shared farm and football background", "response": "Brady offers an alliance" }, "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-021", "event_group": 8, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 704, "cue_end": 765, "time_start": "00:28:28,540", "time_end": "00:30:43,342" }, "speakers": [ "Carter", "Brady" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RECIPIENT_EFFECT", "paraphrase": "Carter probes tribe divisions and conceals the additional advantage opportunity. Brady says he knows Carter is lying but wants him as an ally; Carter treats Brady’s reassurance cautiously.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Record belief, concealment and conditional reassurance; neither durable loyalty nor vote choice follows automatically.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-032", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1367, "cue_end": 1391, "time_start": "00:54:10,047", "time_end": "00:55:17,548" }, "speakers": [ "Lewis", "Carter" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Lewis describes Carter as an opportunity to act together; they weigh joining the five against having greater room in the other group.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Their discussion supports their stated choice criteria, not all six voters’ reasons or durable control.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-041", "event_group": 13, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1499, "cue_end": 1534, "time_start": "01:00:03,967", "time_end": "01:03:35,011" }, "speakers": [ "Jeff", "unresolved voting speakers" ], "recipients": [ "Toka" ], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "The read alternates Kilby and Patt to five each with one ballot left; the final ballot eliminates Patt. Eleven counted ballots produce six Patt, five Kilby.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Final total is corroborated. Individual voter identities/extra-vote mechanics are not established by read order. The host’s ordinal wording conflicts with three vote exits versus four total departures.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } ] } ], "players": [ "Aaliyah", "Alexis", "Ana", "Brady", "Carter", "Cristian", "Devin", "Eric", "Jelly", "Jenna", "Kilby", "Kristin", "Lewis", "Linnea", "Maggie", "Mike", "Ori", "Patt", "Rob", "Sharonda", "Thien An" ], "player_statistics": [ { "player": "Aaliyah", "full_name": "Aaliyah Puglia", "portrait": "portraits/aaliyah.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": false, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-AALIYAH", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": false, "episode_status": "Prior exit", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": null, "as_recipient": null, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": null, "FAILED": null, "INDETERMINATE": null }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": null, "Reward": null, "Referent": null, "Legitimate": null, "Coercive": null, "Expert": null }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": null, "Reward": null, "Referent": null, "Legitimate": null, "Coercive": null, "Expert": null }, "coverage": { "player": "Aaliyah", "assessment": "Earlier elimination remains accepted history; no new Episode 3 assessment.", "turn_ids": [ "T03" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "FAILED": 1, "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-016-LEG", "PE-S51E01-018-REF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "PRIOR_EXIT", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "PRIOR_EXIT", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Alexis", "full_name": "Alexis Levine", "portrait": "portraits/alexis.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-ALEXIS", "episode2_tribe": "Savu", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Alexis", "assessment": "Challenge/formal-safe context only in the scoped record; no new assessed social effect.", "turn_ids": [ "T06" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A02-INF" ] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Ana", "full_name": "Ana Sani", "portrait": "portraits/ana.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": false, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-ANA", "episode2_tribe": "Savu", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": false, "episode_status": "Prior exit", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": null, "as_recipient": null, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": null, "FAILED": null, "INDETERMINATE": null }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": null, "Reward": null, "Referent": null, "Legitimate": null, "Coercive": null, "Expert": null }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": null, "Reward": null, "Referent": null, "Legitimate": null, "Coercive": null, "Expert": null }, "coverage": { "player": "Ana", "assessment": "Earlier elimination remains accepted history; new Ori/Rob accounts are not silent repairs to Episode 2.", "turn_ids": [ "T01" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 0, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "BACKFIRED": 1, "MIXED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A01-INF", "PE-S51E02-A05-INF" ] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "PRIOR_EXIT", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Brady", "full_name": "Brady Booker", "portrait": "portraits/brady.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-BRADY", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [ "RP01" ], "recipient_record_ids": [ "IP01", "IP02", "IP05", "IP06", "REF01" ], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 1, "as_recipient": 5, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 1 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 1, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 4, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 1, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Brady", "assessment": "Receives Patt’s information, bargains with Maggie, welcomes Carter, claims numbers and resists Thien An’s warning.", "turn_ids": [ "T02", "T04", "T05", "T07", "T09" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 0, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "MIXED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-012-INF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 0, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "INDETERMINATE": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "RP01" ] } ] }, { "player": "Carter", "full_name": "Carter Krull", "portrait": "portraits/carter.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": { "from": "Savu", "to": "Toka", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-022", "EVD-S51E03-023" ] }, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-CARTER", "episode2_tribe": "Savu", "episode3_membership_evidence": [ "EVD-S51E03-023" ] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [ "IP06", "REF01" ], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 2, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 1, "FAILED": 1, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 1, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 1, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Carter", "assessment": "Idol receipt, visiting/withholding, received assurance, missed boat, choice criteria and official reported Patt vote.", "turn_ids": [ "T01", "T05", "T07", "T10" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": "Patt", "ballot_source": "S03", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "FAILED": 1, "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "IP06", "REF01" ] } ] }, { "player": "Cristian", "full_name": "Cristian Chavez", "portrait": "portraits/cristian.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-CRISTIAN", "episode2_tribe": "Savu", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Cristian", "assessment": "Challenge/formal-safe context only in the scoped record; no new assessed social effect.", "turn_ids": [ "T06" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Devin", "full_name": "Devin Way", "portrait": "portraits/devin.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-DEVIN", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [ "IP03" ], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 1, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 1, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 1, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Devin", "assessment": "Cross-tribe disclosure and advantage acquisition; local conflict and target intention do not establish all-group compliance.", "turn_ids": [ "T03", "T06", "T07", "T10" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 1, "outcomes": { "MIXED": 1, "FAILED": 1, "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-005-INF", "PE-S51E01-013-INF", "PE-S51E01-019-REF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "IP03" ] } ] }, { "player": "Eric", "full_name": "Eric Macksoud", "portrait": "portraits/eric.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-ERIC", "episode2_tribe": "Savu", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Eric", "assessment": "Own success account and skepticism toward Rob; no new broad control finding.", "turn_ids": [ "T01" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Jelly", "full_name": "Angelica “Jelly” Loblack", "portrait": "portraits/jelly.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-JELLY", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Jelly", "assessment": "Part of the named five and public big-move discussion; prior idol access retained by reference, no new confirmed deployment.", "turn_ids": [ "T07", "T10" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 1, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-019-REF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A04-INF" ] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Jenna", "full_name": "Jenna Doore", "portrait": "portraits/jenna.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-JENNA", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Jenna", "assessment": "Named faction participant and public uncertainty; puzzle role does not establish Expert deference.", "turn_ids": [ "T06", "T07", "T10" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1, "FAILED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-011-INF", "PE-S51E01-015-LEG" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Kilby", "full_name": "Danny “Kilby” Kilby", "portrait": "portraits/kilby.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-KILBY", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Kilby", "assessment": "Intended bonding/backfire, contested sit-out account, assumed Brady tie and survival without a control claim.", "turn_ids": [ "T02", "T06", "T07", "T10" ] }, "votes_received": 5, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 1, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-003-LEG" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Kristin", "full_name": "Kristin Flickinger", "portrait": "portraits/kristin.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-KRISTIN", "episode2_tribe": "Savu", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Kristin", "assessment": "Own health comparison and tribe/challenge context; no diagnosis of Rob or new social-Power effect.", "turn_ids": [ "T01", "T06" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 1, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-003-LEG" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Lewis", "full_name": "Lewis Kelly", "portrait": "portraits/lewis.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-LEWIS", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [ "IP02" ], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Lewis", "assessment": "Late arrival/outsider account, reported bag search, coalition arithmetic, joint options and official reported Patt vote.", "turn_ids": [ "T04", "T07", "T10" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": "Patt", "ballot_source": "S03", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Linnea", "full_name": "Linnea Capobianco", "portrait": "portraits/linnea.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-LINNEA", "episode2_tribe": "Savu", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Linnea", "assessment": "Named as a leader in Carter’s account, not independently shown controlling Savu; formal-safe context.", "turn_ids": [ "T04", "T06" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A06-INF" ] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Maggie", "full_name": "Maggie Nestor", "portrait": "portraits/maggie.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-MAGGIE", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [ "IP02", "RP01" ], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 2, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 1, "Reward": 1, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Maggie", "assessment": "Retrieval, request, promised alignment and extra-vote access; exact ballot use/compliance unresolved.", "turn_ids": [ "T04", "T07" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Mike", "full_name": "Mike Pinsky", "portrait": "portraits/mike.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-MIKE", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Mike", "assessment": "Named member of five and initial countertarget; others’ assessment is not his own motive or a low-Power score.", "turn_ids": [ "T07", "T08" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Ori", "full_name": "Ori Jean-Charles", "portrait": "portraits/ori.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-ORI", "episode2_tribe": "Savu", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [ "IP03" ], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 1, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 1, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Ori", "assessment": "Explicit reassurance from Devin’s disclosure; own Rob skepticism and challenge context. No future protection/vote inference.", "turn_ids": [ "T01", "T03", "T06" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Patt", "full_name": "Patt Cannaday", "portrait": "portraits/patt.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": false, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-PATT", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Voted out", "actor_record_ids": [ "IP01" ], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 1, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 1, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 1, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Patt", "assessment": "Central subject: remark relay, perceived target risk, public trust statement, exit words and separate later knowledge/intent account.", "turn_ids": [ "T02", "T08", "T09", "T10" ] }, "votes_received": 6, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 2, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 2 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-010-INF", "PE-S51E01-014-INF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "IP01" ] } ] }, { "player": "Rob", "full_name": "Rob Antonson", "portrait": "portraits/rob.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": false, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-ROB", "episode2_tribe": "Savu", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Voluntary exit", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Rob", "assessment": "Own exit/health account, conflicting recipient opinions, formal voluntary departure and reported gift; later self-report separate.", "turn_ids": [ "T01" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-006-INF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Sharonda", "full_name": "Sharonda Cox", "portrait": "portraits/sharonda.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-SHARONDA", "episode2_tribe": "Savu", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 0, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 0, "FAILED": 0, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Sharonda", "assessment": "Prior relationship conversation and concrete retrieval help; no automatic Expert/Referent or whole-Savu effect.", "turn_ids": [ "T03" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A07-INF" ] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] } ] }, { "player": "Thien An", "full_name": "An “Thien An” Nguyen", "portrait": "portraits/thien-an.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "tribe_change": null, "tribe_basis": { "episode2_membership_id": "MEM-S51E02-THIENAN", "episode2_tribe": "Toka", "episode3_membership_evidence": [] }, "eligible": true, "episode_status": "Episode participant", "actor_record_ids": [ "IP04", "IP05" ], "recipient_record_ids": [], "context_record_ids": [], "as_actor": 2, "as_recipient": 0, "actor_outcomes": { "WORKED": 1, "FAILED": 1, "INDETERMINATE": 0 }, "actor_bases": { "Informational": 2, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "recipient_bases": { "Informational": 0, "Reward": 0, "Referent": 0, "Legitimate": 0, "Coercive": 0, "Expert": 0 }, "coverage": { "player": "Thien An", "assessment": "Patt-versus-Mike framing and group agreement supported; her warning meets resistance. No sole-control verdict.", "turn_ids": [ "T08", "T09" ] }, "votes_received": null, "reported_ballot": null, "ballot_source": null, "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": {}, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 3, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "outcomes": { "WORKED": 1, "FAILED": 1 }, "record_ids": [ "IP04", "IP05" ] } ] } ], "player_attribution": { "named_actor_events": 7, "unassigned_actor_ids": [ "IP02" ], "named_recipient_events": 7, "named_recipient_memberships": 8, "unassigned_recipient_ids": [ "IP04" ] }, "later": [ { "id": "L01", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-043" ], "source": "Patt, October 8 Q&A", "effect": "RETROSPECTIVE_EXPANSION", "finding": "Patt says Brady did not pass on the warning. This supplies her own later recollection; the Episode only supports that no relay is shown.", "limit": "Her credit to Thien An and judgment that Brady made a mistake are later assessments, not independent proof of either player’s entire private reasoning." }, { "id": "L02", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-044" ], "source": "Patt, October 8 Q&A", "effect": "RETROSPECTIVE_EXPANSION", "finding": "Patt says she expected Mike or Kilby, heard Kilby indicate Mike, and wanted to retain her ballot rather than try Shot in the Dark.", "limit": "Her own knowledge/choice account can explain her lack of a defensive attempt. Do not add the unseen Kilby exchange to the Episode or claim Shot in the Dark would have saved her." }, { "id": "L03", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-045" ], "source": "Patt, October 8 Q&A", "effect": "RETROSPECTIVE_EXPANSION", "finding": "Patt says she saved the controller remark and used it when Brady became concerned about her. This adds her tactical intent to the already observed relay and response.", "limit": "Her attribution does not replace Brady’s own stated response or prove the complete cause of his plan. No duplicate Power-use count is added." }, { "id": "L04", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-046", "EVD-S51E03-047" ], "source": "Rob, October 8 Q&A", "effect": "RETROSPECTIVE_INDETERMINATE", "finding": "Rob attributes his exit and earlier self-vote attempt to unreported symptoms and concern about infection. This contests the other players’ private-motive theory without resolving it.", "limit": "No clinical confirmation obtained, no conversion to medical evacuation and no silent rewrite of Episode 2’s accepted package. No new effect/count from the retelling." } ], "resources": [ { "resource_id": "FR01", "resource": "Rob’s idol transferred to Carter", "rule": "Idol paperwork identified; full timing/expiry not captured", "access": "Carter reports receipt from Rob; corroborated", "activation": "TRANSFER_RECORDED", "deployment": "NO_DEPLOYMENT_CONFIRMED", "formal_response": "POSSESSION_ONLY", "human_response": "Carter describes relief", "group_response": "UNOBSERVED", "cost": "Rob leaves; transfer terms unknown", "conversion": "OWNERSHIP_TRANSFER", "expiry": "UNKNOWN", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-009" ] }, { "resource_id": "FR02", "resource": "Devin’s extra vote", "rule": "Extra vote acquired at Savu well; exact Devin document expiry not read in text", "access": "Devin with Sharonda retrieves it", "activation": "ACQUIRED", "deployment": "NO_DEPLOYMENT_CONFIRMED", "formal_response": "POSSESSION_ONLY", "human_response": "Ori says disclosure matters", "group_response": "UNRESOLVED", "cost": "No vote forfeiture stated", "conversion": "UNOBSERVED", "expiry": "DO_NOT_AUTOMATICALLY_COPY_MAGGIE_DOCUMENT_TERMS", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-015", "EVD-S51E03-016" ] }, { "resource_id": "FR03", "resource": "Toka extra vote transferred to Maggie", "rule": "Usable through six remaining; extends through tie/revote", "access": "Brady initially secures parchment and hands it to Maggie", "activation": "ACQUIRED_AND_TRANSFERRED", "deployment": "NO_DEPLOYMENT_CONFIRMED", "formal_response": "MAGGIE_POSSESSION", "human_response": "Maggie promises to vote with Brady during transfer", "group_response": "COMPLIANCE_NOT_ESTABLISHED", "cost": "Stated vote-alignment promise; enforcement not observed", "conversion": "BRADY_TO_MAGGIE", "expiry": "SIX_REMAINING", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-019", "EVD-S51E03-020" ] }, { "resource_id": "FR06", "resource": "Jelly’s prior idol / other prior resources", "rule": "Reuse exact accepted Episode 2 formal-resource record", "access": "BY_PRIOR_ACCEPTED_REFERENCE_ONLY", "activation": "NO_NEW_ACTIVATION_CONFIRMED", "deployment": "NO_NEW_DEPLOYMENT_CONFIRMED", "formal_response": "NO_NEW_CONFIRMED_CHANGE", "human_response": "UNOBSERVED", "group_response": "UNOBSERVED", "cost": "NO_NEW_CONFIRMED_COST", "conversion": "UNOBSERVED", "expiry": "BY_PRIOR_REFERENCE", "evidence_ids": [], "accepted_input_reference": "Episode 2 Phase 1 manifest and workbook" } ], "sources": [ { "source_id": "S01", "title": "S51E03 — What I’m Smellin’ Is Stinky", "publisher": "CBS", "url": "https://www.cbs.com/shows/video/ALVE01M2GC938YEEQRHGSAE0Q4WC2R/", "source_class": "OFFICIAL_EPISODE", "observation_origin_id": "CBS-S51E03-OFFICIAL-CUT", "published_at": "2026-10-07", "published_time_precision": "PUBLISHER_DECLARED", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T06:27:24Z", "access_timing_precision": "REVIEWED_DURING_THIS_TASK_BEFORE_CUTOFF; EXACT_FETCH_TIMES_NOT_LOGGED", "first_actual_availability": "NOT_OBSERVED", "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "epistemic_limit": "Official identity/runtime and bounded caption/visual checks; continuous audiovisual review not performed.", "inclusion_status": "INCLUDED", "player_runtime": "01:04:47", "metadata_duration_seconds": 3888, "publisher_media_available_date": "2026-10-07T21:30:00-0700", "publisher_pub_date_iso": "2026-10-07T22:57:21-07:00", "parent_audiovisual_source_id": null, "full_raw_page_retained": false, "metadata_note": "Availability fields are publisher metadata, not proof of first working caption availability. Raw page included tracking/media details and is not part of the package." }, { "source_id": "S02", "title": "Survivor.S51E03.en original captions", "publisher": "Subtitle Cat; closing caption credit CBS / Media Access Group at WGBH", "url": "https://www.subtitlecat.com/subs/1722/Survivor.S51E03.en-orig.srt", "source_class": "DERIVATIVE_CAPTION_REPRESENTATION", "observation_origin_id": "CBS-S51E03-OFFICIAL-CUT", "published_at": "UNKNOWN", "published_time_precision": "PUBLISHER_DECLARED", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T06:27:24Z", "access_timing_precision": "REVIEWED_DURING_THIS_TASK_BEFORE_CUTOFF; EXACT_FETCH_TIMES_NOT_LOGGED", "first_actual_availability": "NOT_OBSERVED", "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "epistemic_limit": "Third-party research copy aligned at bounded official-player checkpoints; not an independent witness or proof of unseen visual context.", "inclusion_status": "INCLUDED", "parent_source_id": "S01", "distribution_page": "https://www.subtitlecat.com/subs/1722/Survivor.S51E03.en.html", "local_download_time": "2026-10-09T06:15:52Z", "local_path": "source/Survivor.S51E03.en-orig.srt", "sha256": "15ecdde9899cd0fc6258a301c14dd2a74652d92960063357e633024571e609af", "cue_count": 1553, "first_cue_start": "00:00:07,040", "last_cue_end": "01:04:38,808", "representation": "TEXTUAL_EPISODE_RECORD", "deduplication_status": "SAME_EPISODE_ORIGIN_AS_S01", "alignment_limits": "Spot matches establish bounded alignment, not byte identity with the official captions. The official track included an assent sound cue not present in this SRT." }, { "source_id": "S03", "title": "Survivor Season 51 Episode 3 Recap", "publisher": "Paramount+ / Doriean Stevenson", "url": "https://www.paramountplus.com/sneak-peak/survivor-season-51-episode-3-recap/", "source_class": "OFFICIAL_EDITORIAL_RECAP", "observation_origin_id": "CBS-PARAMOUNT-S51E03-EDITORIAL", "published_at": "2026-10-08 11:00 AM EST (publisher display)", "published_time_precision": "PUBLISHER_DECLARED", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T06:27:24Z", "access_timing_precision": "REVIEWED_DURING_THIS_TASK_BEFORE_CUTOFF; EXACT_FETCH_TIMES_NOT_LOGGED", "first_actual_availability": "NOT_OBSERVED", "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "epistemic_limit": "Formal-result corroboration and explicitly attributed reporting only; same corporate origin, not an independent ballot ledger.", "inclusion_status": "INCLUDED" }, { "source_id": "S04", "title": "Survivor 51 Recap: An Old-School Twist And A Visit From Jeff Shake Up The Game", "publisher": "TVLine / Nick Caruso", "url": "https://www.tvline.com/2280490/survivor-51-recap-episode-3-rob-quits-patt-voted-out/", "source_class": "INDEPENDENT_WRITTEN_RECONSTRUCTION", "observation_origin_id": "TVLINE-S51E03-RECAP", "published_at": "2026-10-07 9:30 PM EST (publisher display)", "published_time_precision": "PUBLISHER_DECLARED", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T06:27:24Z", "access_timing_precision": "REVIEWED_DURING_THIS_TASK_BEFORE_CUTOFF; EXACT_FETCH_TIMES_NOT_LOGGED", "first_actual_availability": "NOT_OBSERVED", "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "epistemic_limit": "Corroborates formal facts and speaker attribution at bounded precision; editorial judgments, unseen dialogue and motives are not admitted.", "inclusion_status": "INCLUDED" }, { "source_id": "S05", "title": "Episode 3 Recap — The Mutineer’s Dilemma", "publisher": "Inside Survivor / Cory Gage", "url": "https://insidesurvivor.com/survivor-51-episode-3-recap-the-mutineers-dilemma-61828", "source_class": "INDEPENDENT_WRITTEN_RECONSTRUCTION", "observation_origin_id": "INSIDE-S51E03-RECAP", "published_at": "2026-10-08 (date only)", "published_time_precision": "PUBLISHER_DECLARED", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T06:27:24Z", "access_timing_precision": "REVIEWED_DURING_THIS_TASK_BEFORE_CUTOFF; EXACT_FETCH_TIMES_NOT_LOGGED", "first_actual_availability": "NOT_OBSERVED", "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "epistemic_limit": "Corroborates formal results and attribution; interprets the same broadcast, not a new island witness. Editorial causal judgments excluded.", "inclusion_status": "INCLUDED" }, { "source_id": "S06", "title": "Patt Cannaday Reveals Alliance Mistakes That Sealed Her Fate", "publisher": "Patt Cannaday / TV Insider / Kelli Boyle", "url": "https://www.tvinsider.com/1295866/survivor-51-episode-3-exit-interview-patt-cannaday-voted-out/", "source_class": "PARTICIPANT_POSTGAME_INTERVIEW", "observation_origin_id": "PERSPECTIVE-PATT-CANNADAY", "published_at": "2026-10-08 3:32 PM (publisher display; timezone unspecified)", "published_time_precision": "PUBLISHER_DECLARED", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T06:27:24Z", "access_timing_precision": "REVIEWED_DURING_THIS_TASK_BEFORE_CUTOFF; EXACT_FETCH_TIMES_NOT_LOGGED", "first_actual_availability": "NOT_OBSERVED", "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-POSTGAME-v01", "epistemic_limit": "Patt’s later account of her own knowledge, actions, intent and feelings; no independent proof of other players’ private reasons.", "inclusion_status": "INCLUDED", "statement_context_default": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW", "perspective_origin_id": "PERSPECTIVE-PATT-CANNADAY", "hindsight_risk": true, "strategic_self_presentation_risk": true }, { "source_id": "S07", "title": "Rob Antonson Says He Hid a Sign of Infection During Medical Check", "publisher": "Rob Antonson / TV Insider / Kelli Boyle", "url": "https://www.tvinsider.com/1295816/survivor-51-episode-3-rob-antonson-quit-injury-exit-interview/", "source_class": "PARTICIPANT_POSTGAME_INTERVIEW", "observation_origin_id": "PERSPECTIVE-ROB-ANTONSON", "published_at": "2026-10-08 1:35 PM (publisher display; timezone unspecified)", "published_time_precision": "PUBLISHER_DECLARED", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T06:27:24Z", "access_timing_precision": "REVIEWED_DURING_THIS_TASK_BEFORE_CUTOFF; EXACT_FETCH_TIMES_NOT_LOGGED", "first_actual_availability": "NOT_OBSERVED", "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-POSTGAME-v01", "epistemic_limit": "Rob’s later health/intent account only. No diagnosis, medical record or independent confirmation was obtained.", "inclusion_status": "INCLUDED", "statement_context_default": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW", "perspective_origin_id": "PERSPECTIVE-ROB-ANTONSON", "hindsight_risk": true, "strategic_self_presentation_risk": true } ], "votes": { "Patt": 6, "Kilby": 5, "evidence": { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-041", "event_group": 13, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1499, "cue_end": 1534, "time_start": "01:00:03,967", "time_end": "01:03:35,011" }, "speakers": [ "Jeff", "unresolved voting speakers" ], "recipients": [ "Toka" ], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "The read alternates Kilby and Patt to five each with one ballot left; the final ballot eliminates Patt. Eleven counted ballots produce six Patt, five Kilby.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Final total is corroborated. Individual voter identities/extra-vote mechanics are not established by read order. The host’s ordinal wording conflicts with three vote exits versus four total departures.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } }, "scope": { "checkpoints": 10, "base_checks": 60, "source_count": 7 }, "provenance": { "analysis_sha256": "b34315f60a214a7e3411b3e16260ea12281b86f92609a12016f245770b8fcbf5", "evidence_sha256": "6fcb6fbb808b3d0374d07ec23af7bc4791aa9f99cce40fab6beae25ec8273f31", "membership_workbook_sha256": "3aa2363ba5f0bc20e894eefa8d1a2cf02574de410fe3faa2f79dd54922fb88b5", "cast_metadata_sha256": "5e1c120a5a599363b0f935b721057ef2afa2087d24873c1abaa34e0263c2ee56", "history_workbooks": { "1": { "file": "outputs/survivor-s51e01-phase2-v02/RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx", "sha256": "7a4e9194c2554a9965f14129e0465dbd06b78b57578cd2558e2728953e15d978" }, "2": { "file": "outputs/survivor-s51e02-phase2-v01/RPM_Survivor_S51E02_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_1.xlsx", "sha256": "1e8d5ee732e1abbb07ddf5fef36aaf28111bc5c60bc8c31f1a7f584fb2961431" } } }, "history_records": [ { "id": "PE-S51E01-003-LEG", "episode": 1, "base": "Legitimate", "players": [ "Kristin", "Kilby" ], "shared": true, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "The players accept and complete a joint decision procedure.", "response": "Kilby reports the accepted procedure produced a bond with Kristin.", "consequence": "The procedure resolves the immediate choice and produces a stated relational effect.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 5, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-005-INF", "episode": 1, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Devin" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "MIXED", "action": "Devin frames Jenna as untrustworthy and names her as his target.", "response": "Jenna becomes the early named target, but the tribe later moves away from Devin's plan.", "consequence": "His framing contributes to the first viable plan but does not hold the majority.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 16, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-006-INF", "episode": 1, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Rob" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Rob withholds Eric's location, wants the absence to become a larger target, and urges a search.", "response": "Savu members search for Eric and voice suspicion about his absence.", "consequence": "Eric's standing worsens in the presented conversation.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 22, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-010-INF", "episode": 1, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Patt" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Patt tells Jenna she is the target and supplies criticism of Brady.", "response": "Jenna says the warning sends her looking for another target.", "consequence": "Jenna gains actionable information and redirects her next move.", "later_account": true, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 28, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-011-INF", "episode": 1, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Jenna" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Jenna tells Brady that Aaliyah criticized his challenge conduct.", "response": "Brady directly links Jenna's information to his desire to target Aaliyah and begins advocating that plan.", "consequence": "Brady's stated target changes; Aaliyah later identifies Jenna's move as part of the shift.", "later_account": true, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 34, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-012-INF", "episode": 1, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Brady" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "MIXED", "action": "Brady commits to Aaliyah and presses the tribe against Devin's Jenna plan.", "response": "Devin resists while the Aaliyah plan remains live and becomes the majority outcome.", "consequence": "Brady contributes to the live alternative that wins, but recipient-by-recipient adoption is not shown.", "later_account": true, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 40, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-013-INF", "episode": 1, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Devin" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "FAILED", "action": "Devin repeatedly asks the tribe to vote Jenna and refuses to switch.", "response": "Brady and the eventual majority do not adopt Devin's target.", "consequence": "His preferred plan loses the bounded reconstruction.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 46, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-014-INF", "episode": 1, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Patt" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Patt publicly identifies Aaliyah as the other person at risk.", "response": "The target becomes public and live whispering follows, but Aaliyah later says she already knew privately.", "consequence": "The information state changes publicly, not as first private notice.", "later_account": true, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 52, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-015-LEG", "episode": 1, "base": "Legitimate", "players": [ "Jenna" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "FAILED", "action": "Jenna gives up her ballot to activate the rule-defined chance at safety.", "response": "The formal result is not safe.", "consequence": "A legitimate Power attempt occurs but does not convert into safety.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 53, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-016-LEG", "episode": 1, "base": "Legitimate", "players": [ "Aaliyah" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "FAILED", "action": "Aaliyah gives up her ballot to activate the rule-defined chance at safety.", "response": "The formal result is not safe and Aaliyah remains eligible for elimination.", "consequence": "A legitimate Power attempt occurs but does not convert into safety.", "later_account": true, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 59, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-018-REF", "episode": 1, "base": "Referent", "players": [ "Aaliyah" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Devin's expressed attachment to Aaliyah contributes to his refusal to target her.", "response": "Devin resists Brady's Aaliyah plan and continues pressing Jenna.", "consequence": "Aaliyah retains one ally's protection but not the group majority.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 69, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E01-019-REF", "episode": 1, "base": "Referent", "players": [ "Devin", "Jelly" ], "shared": true, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Protective relationships change Aaliyah's own information management and preparation.", "response": "Aaliyah says their protection affected how she concealed closeness and prepared her safety attempt.", "consequence": "A bounded Referent effect is supported for the recipient's behavior.", "later_account": true, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 75, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A01-INF", "episode": 2, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Ana" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "BACKFIRED", "action": "Ana deliberately seeds multiple names to create a rift.", "response": "The names later circulate back as evidence that Ana is naming people.", "consequence": "The maneuver supplies information that later contributes to concern about Ana.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 10, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E02_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_1.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A02-INF", "episode": 2, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Alexis" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Alexis spreads that Ana is naming other players.", "response": "Linnea and Sharonda discuss Ana as a concern after the warning circulates.", "consequence": "The information helps create a visible pathway for Ana to become a target.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 16, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E02_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_1.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A04-INF", "episode": 2, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Jelly" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Jelly discloses the idol to Patt.", "response": "Patt says the disclosure cements the relationship and immediately proposes planning together.", "consequence": "Patt changes the relationship and planning state in the recorded exchange.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 28, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E02_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_1.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A05-INF", "episode": 2, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Ana" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "MIXED", "action": "Ana offers herself as the decoy target for the Eric plan.", "response": "The group accepts Ana's name as the decoy communicated to Eric.", "consequence": "Her proposal works immediately as a decoy but also places her name into the active vote conversation.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 34, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E02_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_1.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A06-INF", "episode": 2, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Linnea" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Linnea relays that Ana has been naming players.", "response": "Sharonda adopts the concern and carries Ana's name into the next decision exchange.", "consequence": "The information moves from concern to active target advocacy.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 40, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E02_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_1.xlsx" }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A07-INF", "episode": 2, "base": "Informational", "players": [ "Sharonda" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Sharonda presents Ana as the majority option and asks Ori to move.", "response": "Ori says he will switch from Eric to Ana.", "consequence": "Ori's stated target position changes in the recorded exchange.", "later_account": false, "source_sheet": "26_Power_Effects", "source_row": 46, "source_file": "RPM_Survivor_S51E02_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_1.xlsx" } ], "public_copy": { "filter": "RPM_Public_Language_Filter_v1", "players": { "Aaliyah": { "headline": "One ally wasn’t enough", "summary": "Devin refused to target Aaliyah in the premiere. That bond mattered to him, but it couldn’t keep her in the game. Her season ended in Episode 1.", "context": "Aaliyah had already left before this episode. Select E1 to see Devin’s loyalty and her unsuccessful Shot in the Dark." }, "Alexis": { "headline": "Her warning traveled", "summary": "In Episode 2, Alexis told Linnea and Sharonda that Ana was naming people. They took notice. This week, Savu won immunity, so Alexis stayed out of Tribal Council.", "context": "Alexis’s clearest example so far is her Episode 2 warning about Ana. Savu’s immunity win kept her safe this week; the available conversations don’t establish a new individual use for this chart." }, "Ana": { "headline": "The names came back to her", "summary": "Ana tried to divide people by throwing out names in Episode 2. Instead, those names became a reason to question her. She also offered herself as a decoy—and went home that night.", "context": "Ana had already left before Episode 3. Her E2 card separates the plan that backfired from the decoy suggestion, which had a mixed result." }, "Brady": { "headline": "He heard it. He didn’t believe it.", "summary": "Thien An told Brady that Patt was a target. He dismissed the plan’s chances. Then Patt went home, 6–5. Earlier, he gave Maggie an extra vote for a promise; we still can’t say how she voted.", "context": "Brady received the warning about Patt and rejected the plan’s chances. His own counted attempt was the bargain with Maggie: she promised to vote with him, but her ballot and use of the extra vote remain unverified." }, "Carter": { "headline": "Missed the boat. Found a choice.", "summary": "Carter missed his ride back to Savu and became a Toka member. Brady offered him an alliance, but Carter and Lewis weighed both sides. The official recap says they voted for Patt.", "context": "Brady liked the farm and football background he shared with Carter and offered an alliance. He also saw through Carter’s attempt to downplay the advantage opportunity. The welcome didn’t bind Carter to Brady’s vote." }, "Cristian": { "headline": "Savu gets a night off", "summary": "Rob left and Carter moved to Toka, leaving Savu with seven players. Then Savu won immunity. Cristian made it through Episode 3 without facing a vote.", "context": "Savu’s challenge win kept Cristian safe. The available Episode 3 conversations don’t show an individual use by Cristian that belongs in these bars. The gap tells us about the evidence, not his ability to play." }, "Devin": { "headline": "An ally across the water", "summary": "Devin came back from Savu with an extra vote. He also told Ori about it, and Ori said that reassured him about their alliance. Back on Toka, the five still lost Patt.", "context": "Devin’s disclosure changed how Ori felt about their alliance. That immediate reassurance earns the worked count. It doesn’t tell us whether Ori will protect him or vote with him later." }, "Eric": { "headline": "A skeptical farewell", "summary": "Eric questioned Rob’s explanation for leaving. Savu then won immunity, keeping Eric away from Tribal Council. His skepticism tells us his view of Rob; it doesn’t settle why Rob left.", "context": "Eric’s comments about Rob are his own reading of the situation. We don’t have evidence here that those comments changed another player’s decision, so they don’t add a worked use to his chart." }, "Jenna": { "headline": "Still here after the vote", "summary": "Jenna was in the group discussing a vote against Toka’s five. The target changed from Mike to Patt. Jenna stayed in the game; Patt went home.", "context": "Jenna appears in the talks on the other side of Toka’s five. We can’t identify her ballot from the available sources or credit her with a separate persuasive exchange this week. Her E1 card shows the conversation that changed Brady’s target." }, "Jelly": { "headline": "A bond, then a blindside", "summary": "Telling Patt about her idol brought them closer in Episode 2. A week later, they were part of Toka’s tight five—and Patt went home. One strong relationship hadn’t given their group the votes it needed.", "context": "Jelly was one of the five trying to send Kilby home. Patt’s exit doesn’t make Jelly’s earlier idol disclosure a failure, and it doesn’t identify a new failed attempt by Jelly. Her idol remains a resource; no Episode 3 play is confirmed." }, "Kilby": { "headline": "Five votes. Still in the game.", "summary": "Patt repeated Kilby’s remark about Brady, and Brady wanted him out. Kilby received five votes but survived when Patt received six. Getting through the night doesn’t mean he controlled it.", "context": "Kilby believed he had Brady as an ally; Brady was privately planning to remove him. Kilby also disputed the challenge sit-out decision with Devin. Neither exchange proves he persuaded the tribe." }, "Kristin": { "headline": "A smaller tribe, a safe night", "summary": "Savu lost Rob and Carter, then beat Toka for immunity. Kristin finished the episode on a smaller tribe, safe from the vote.", "context": "Savu’s win kept Kristin safe this week. Her comments comparing her own health with Rob’s don’t establish his medical condition. Select E1 for the shared decision with Kilby." }, "Lewis": { "headline": "Join the five—or break it up?", "summary": "Lewis and Carter weighed the security of joining Toka’s five against having more room to make their own choices. The official recap reports a Patt vote from both. The five lost an ally.", "context": "Lewis is reported to have searched Carter’s bag. The discovered clue led Brady and Maggie to the extra vote, but we can’t identify who passed the information to them. That discovery counts once for the group; it isn’t added to Lewis’s individual bars." }, "Linnea": { "headline": "A leader in Carter’s telling", "summary": "Carter described Linnea as one of Savu’s leaders. That’s his view. In Episode 2, she passed along the concern about Ana, and Sharonda took it into the next target discussion.", "context": "Carter’s description doesn’t prove Linnea controlled Savu. The chart keeps her Episode 2 exchange with Sharonda, where we can follow what she said and the response it received." }, "Maggie": { "headline": "She got the extra vote", "summary": "Maggie asked Brady for the advantage. He handed it over after she promised to vote with him. The transfer is clear. Whether she kept that promise—or used the extra vote at Tribal—is still unknown.", "context": "Maggie secured possession of the extra vote. We can’t verify her ballot or whether she played the advantage. Brady’s bargain appears under his attempts; receiving the advantage alone doesn’t add an effective use to her chart." }, "Mike": { "headline": "His name came up first", "summary": "The players considering a vote against the five first discussed Mike. Thien An argued for Patt instead, and the group agreed. Mike stayed, but his alliance lost one of its own.", "context": "Mike was one of Toka’s five and an early alternative to Patt. Other players’ judgments about him explain their target discussion; they don’t show what he privately intended or prove he had little Power." }, "Ori": { "headline": "Devin remembered him", "summary": "Devin told Ori about his new advantage. Ori said the disclosure reassured him that their alliance still mattered.", "context": "Ori’s reassurance is the response to Devin’s disclosure, so the worked use belongs on Devin’s card. It tells us their conversation mattered to Ori; it isn’t a promise of future protection." }, "Patt": { "headline": "She changed Brady’s mind. She still left.", "summary": "Patt told Brady what Kilby had said about him. Brady took it personally and wanted Kilby out. That conversation worked. The vote didn’t go their way: Patt left with six votes to Kilby’s five.", "context": "Patt’s information changed Brady’s stated view of Kilby. That earns one worked use, even though Patt went home. A persuasive conversation and a safe Tribal Council are different results. Her later account of the warning appears below, with the interview date." }, "Rob": { "headline": "He left. Carter got the idol.", "summary": "Rob chose to leave after a medical visit. Carter reported receiving his idol and paperwork. Rob later described symptoms and fears of infection; that account doesn’t turn his voluntary exit into a medical evacuation.", "context": "Medical did not remove Rob from the game. He chose to leave. Other players doubted his explanation, but their reactions don’t prove he fabricated his pain. His October 8 account is kept separate below." }, "Sharonda": { "headline": "An old ally, a new advantage", "summary": "Sharonda pulled Devin aside to talk about their alliance. After he shared the clue, she helped him retrieve an extra vote. The advantage went back to Toka with Devin; Savu won immunity.", "context": "Sharonda helped Devin find the extra vote. We don’t have a response showing that someone followed her because of her expertise, so the search doesn’t add an Expert use. Her E2 card shows her pitch that changed Ori’s stated target." }, "Thien An": { "headline": "The pitch worked. The warning didn’t.", "summary": "Thien An made the case for voting out Patt instead of Mike, and the group agreed. She also warned Brady that Patt was a target. He dismissed the plan’s chances. Two conversations, two different results.", "context": "The group accepted Thien An’s argument for Patt. Brady rejected her separate warning. Her worked count covers the target discussion; it doesn’t give her sole credit for all six Patt votes." } }, "records": { "IP01": { "action": "Patt tells Brady about Kilby’s remark", "response": "Brady says Kilby is treating him like a pawn and wants him out.", "limit": "This explains a change in Brady’s view. It doesn’t make Patt responsible for the whole Kilby plan or tell us how everyone voted." }, "IP02": { "action": "Carter’s clue sends the group to the oars", "response": "After the advantage location becomes known, Brady and Maggie search the oars and retrieve the extra vote.", "limit": "Lewis is reported to have searched the bag, but we can’t identify who relayed the clue. The discovery stays a group finding." }, "IP03": { "action": "Devin tells Ori about his advantage", "response": "Ori says he feels reassured that Devin still remembers their alliance.", "limit": "Ori’s reassurance is clear. A future vote or promise to protect Devin isn’t." }, "IP04": { "action": "Thien An makes the case for Patt", "response": "She argues that Patt’s ability to connect with people makes her a better target than Mike. The group agrees on Patt.", "limit": "That reasoning is Thien An’s assessment of Patt. The agreement supports her contribution, but the six Patt votes don’t prove she persuaded every voter herself." }, "IP05": { "action": "Thien An warns Brady about Patt", "response": "Brady hears that Patt is a target but says the plan won’t work. He relies on his expected numbers and dismisses Thien An’s ability to pull it off.", "limit": "We don’t see him pass the warning to Patt. We also can’t say he deliberately sacrificed her or could certainly have saved her." }, "IP06": { "action": "Carter downplays the advantage opportunity", "response": "Brady recognizes that Carter is withholding information. Carter’s denial doesn’t convince him.", "limit": "Brady seeing through this denial doesn’t mean he knew about Carter’s idol or that every part of Carter’s visit failed." }, "RP01": { "action": "Brady trades the extra vote for a promise", "response": "Maggie promises to vote with Brady, and he hands her the extra vote.", "limit": "We can’t verify Maggie’s ballot or use of the advantage. The promise alone doesn’t tell us whether Brady got the vote he wanted." }, "REF01": { "action": "Carter finds common ground with Brady", "response": "Brady identifies with Carter’s farm and football background and offers him an alliance.", "limit": "The offer is the result counted here. It doesn’t prove lasting protection or Carter’s loyalty; the official recap later reports Carter voted for Patt." } }, "history_records": { "PE-S51E01-003-LEG": { "action": "Kristin and Kilby follow an agreed way to make their joint choice.", "response": "The procedure settles the decision, and Kilby says it helped them bond.", "limit": "This is one shared finding. Both cards show it, but it counts as one episode event." }, "PE-S51E01-005-INF": { "action": "Devin calls Jenna untrustworthy and pushes her name as the target.", "response": "Jenna becomes an early target. Later, the tribe turns to Aaliyah.", "limit": "The pitch gained ground at first, then lost it. That mixed result stays out of the worked bars." }, "PE-S51E01-006-INF": { "action": "Rob keeps Eric’s location to himself and urges the tribe to look for him.", "response": "Savu searches for Eric, and players question why he is absent.", "limit": "The count covers the search and suspicion. It doesn’t establish Rob’s control of a later vote." }, "PE-S51E01-010-INF": { "action": "Patt tells Jenna she is a target and passes along criticism of Brady.", "response": "Jenna says the warning sent her looking for another target.", "limit": "Jenna’s later account helps explain her response. The warning doesn’t give Patt sole credit for the final plan." }, "PE-S51E01-011-INF": { "action": "Jenna tells Brady that Aaliyah criticized his behavior in the challenge.", "response": "Brady says the information makes him want to target Aaliyah and starts arguing for that vote.", "limit": "His stated target changes. The accepted E1 analysis also includes Aaliyah’s later account; it doesn’t identify every voter’s reason." }, "PE-S51E01-012-INF": { "action": "Brady pushes for Aaliyah while Devin still wants Jenna out.", "response": "Devin resists. The tribe eventually votes out Aaliyah.", "limit": "Brady’s plan wins the vote, but we can’t follow who accepted his argument. The analysis keeps this result mixed, with later participant context." }, "PE-S51E01-013-INF": { "action": "Devin keeps asking the tribe to vote for Jenna and refuses to switch.", "response": "Brady and the eventual majority don’t follow his plan. Aaliyah leaves.", "limit": "This failed attempt is separate from Devin’s earlier pitch, which had a mixed result." }, "PE-S51E01-014-INF": { "action": "Patt names Aaliyah as the other player at risk during Tribal Council.", "response": "The target becomes public, and players begin whispering.", "limit": "Aaliyah later said she already knew privately. This count covers the public disclosure, not Patt giving her the first warning." }, "PE-S51E01-015-LEG": { "action": "Jenna gives up her vote to play Shot in the Dark.", "response": "The result is not safe. The advantage doesn’t protect her.", "limit": "Jenna survives the vote, but that survival isn’t a successful Shot in the Dark." }, "PE-S51E01-016-LEG": { "action": "Aaliyah gives up her vote to play Shot in the Dark.", "response": "The result is not safe, and Aaliyah is voted out.", "limit": "The attempt is counted, but it adds nothing to the worked bars. The accepted E1 analysis also includes her later account." }, "PE-S51E01-018-REF": { "action": "Devin’s attachment to Aaliyah makes him unwilling to target her.", "response": "He resists Brady’s plan and keeps pushing for Jenna instead.", "limit": "The relationship holds Devin’s loyalty. It doesn’t secure a majority for Aaliyah." }, "PE-S51E01-019-REF": { "action": "Devin and Jelly’s protective bonds matter to Aaliyah’s own planning.", "response": "Aaliyah later says their protection affected how she hid their closeness and prepared her attempt at safety.", "limit": "This is one shared finding from her later account. Devin’s and Jelly’s individual credit can’t be separated." }, "PE-S51E02-A01-INF": { "action": "Ana throws out several names to divide the group.", "response": "Those names come back as evidence that she is talking about other players.", "limit": "The information creates concern about Ana instead of helping her split the group. That is the backfired result." }, "PE-S51E02-A02-INF": { "action": "Alexis tells Linnea and Sharonda that Ana is naming people.", "response": "They discuss Ana as someone to worry about.", "limit": "The warning helps put Ana under scrutiny. It doesn’t give Alexis sole credit for Ana’s exit." }, "PE-S51E02-A04-INF": { "action": "Jelly tells Patt about her idol.", "response": "Patt says it cements their relationship and immediately suggests planning together.", "limit": "The disclosure works in that conversation. Owning the idol is separate, and this response doesn’t prove lasting control of Patt." }, "PE-S51E02-A05-INF": { "action": "Ana offers her own name as a decoy for the plan to vote out Eric.", "response": "The group accepts the decoy suggestion, which also puts Ana’s name into the vote conversation.", "limit": "The suggestion gets an immediate yes but carries a cost. The analysis keeps the result mixed." }, "PE-S51E02-A06-INF": { "action": "Linnea passes along the concern that Ana is naming people.", "response": "Sharonda takes the concern seriously and brings Ana’s name into the next target discussion.", "limit": "We can follow that change in Sharonda’s response. It doesn’t identify every voter’s reason." }, "PE-S51E02-A07-INF": { "action": "Sharonda tells Ori that Ana is the majority’s target and asks him to switch.", "response": "Ori says he will change his target from Eric to Ana.", "limit": "His stated choice changes. This finding doesn’t supply a complete ballot map." } }, "resources": { "FR01": { "title": "Carter’s idol", "text": "Carter reports that Rob gave him the idol and its paperwork. No play of it is confirmed here." }, "FR02": { "title": "Devin’s extra vote", "text": "Devin retrieves it with Sharonda’s help on Savu and returns to Toka. No use of it is confirmed here." }, "FR03": { "title": "Maggie’s extra vote", "text": "Brady hands it over after Maggie promises to vote with him. We can’t verify her ballot or whether she used the advantage." }, "FR06": { "title": "Jelly’s idol", "text": "Her Episode 2 idol remains part of her history. We have no confirmed new activation or play in Episode 3." } }, "later": { "L01": { "title": "Patt says the warning never reached her", "text": "In her October 8 interview, Patt says Brady didn’t pass on Thien An’s warning. The episode shows the warning reaching Brady; it doesn’t show him relaying it.", "limit": "This is Patt’s later recollection. It doesn’t reveal everything Brady privately thought or did." }, "L02": { "title": "Why Patt kept her vote", "text": "Patt says she expected Mike or Kilby to leave, had heard Kilby mention Mike, and wanted to keep her ballot rather than play Shot in the Dark.", "limit": "Her October 8 account explains her choice. It doesn’t prove that playing Shot in the Dark would have saved her." }, "L03": { "title": "Patt explains the timing of Kilby’s remark", "text": "Patt says she saved the controller remark for a moment when Brady seemed concerned about her. The episode already shows her telling him and his response.", "limit": "The October 8 interview adds her intention to the same conversation. It isn’t a second use, and it doesn’t make that exchange the whole cause of Brady’s plan." }, "L04": { "title": "Rob gives his account of leaving", "text": "On October 8, Rob describes symptoms and fears of infection as reasons for leaving and for his earlier attempt to vote himself out.", "limit": "We haven’t obtained clinical confirmation. His account remains separate from the other players’ opinions and from the Episode 2 findings. His exit was voluntary." } }, "source_notes": { "S01": "Official episode. The research checked selected moments; it did not review the entire video continuously.", "S02": "Third-party captions help locate dialogue. They come from the same episode and can leave a speaker unclear.", "S03": "Official recap confirms the result and reports Carter’s and Lewis’s votes. It doesn’t provide every ballot.", "S04": "Nick Caruso’s named-author recap. Use its reported scenes alongside the episode evidence; its opinions and vote claims aren’t all adopted here.", "S05": "Cory Gage’s named-author recap. It provides a second account of the episode and a writing model; its motive judgments aren’t game facts.", "S06": "Patt’s October 8 answers to Kelli Boyle. These are later recollections, kept separate from what the episode shows.", "S07": "Rob’s October 8 answers to Kelli Boyle. His health explanation is his account, without independent clinical confirmation." } }, "language_work_record": "language-work-record.json", "editorial_models": [ { "id": "H09", "author": "Cory Gage", "outlet": "Inside Survivor", "show": "Survivor", "episode": 3, "title": "Episode 3 Recap – The Mutineer’s Dilemma", "url": "https://insidesurvivor.com/survivor-51-episode-3-recap-the-mutineers-dilemma-61828", "publication_date": "2026-10-08", "collection_date": "2026-10-12", "genre": "Named-author episode recap", "access": "Full article body inspected this turn", "authorship_basis": "Named byline and author biography; no categorical human-only policy verified", "short_excerpt": "They still need more numbers, though", "passage_locator": "Final Toka planning section, paragraphs on Carter and Lewis weighing both sides", "observation": "Names, choices and the missing vote carry the explanation. A short transition turns from the alliance to its immediate problem. RPM adopts that concrete emphasis, without the writer’s ridicule or certainty about every ballot.", "reader_note": "Model for explaining the choice facing Carter, Lewis and the five." }, { "id": "H03", "author": "Nick Caruso", "outlet": "TVLine", "show": "Survivor", "episode": 3, "title": "Survivor 51 Recap: An Old-School Twist And A Visit From Jeff Shake Up The Game", "url": "https://www.tvline.com/2280490/survivor-51-recap-episode-3-rob-quits-patt-voted-out/", "publication_date": "2026-10-07", "collection_date": "2026-10-12", "genre": "Named-author episode recap", "access": "Full article body inspected this turn", "authorship_basis": "Named byline; article navigation links the publisher’s No-AI Writing Policy. Policy is publisher evidence, not an independent audit of the article.", "short_excerpt": "What we don't see", "passage_locator": "Final section, immediately after Thien An warns Brady", "observation": "A short sentence names the missing action before the writer returns to the vote. RPM replaces abstract compliance and attribution phrases with specific unknowns: Maggie’s ballot, a relay to Patt, or future protection. It does not adopt the recap’s claim that Maggie broke the promise.", "reader_note": "Model for saying plainly what the episode leaves unclear." }, { "id": "H06", "author": "Andy Dehnart", "outlet": "reality blurred", "show": "Survivor", "episode": 3, "title": "Survivor 51 recap: infirmity, mutiny, stupidity—hooray!", "url": "https://www.realityblurred.com/realitytv/2026/10/survivor-51-episode-3-recap/", "publication_date": "2026-10-07", "collection_date": "2026-10-12", "genre": "Named-author recap and criticism", "access": "Full article body inspected this turn", "authorship_basis": "Named byline and author biography. Earlier collection recorded the publisher’s human-written declaration; the declaration was not re-audited this turn.", "short_excerpt": "Instead of a reward challenge, each tribe sent one player", "passage_locator": "Middle Carter/Devin visit sequence and final vote section", "observation": "Concrete events move the reader through the twist without research labels. The rewrite starts with the boat, the target, the warning and the vote. It uses varied sentence lengths and clear opinion about bounded results; it excludes insults, invented thoughts and health speculation.", "reader_note": "Model for leading with the event and keeping the explanation moving.", "limits": "Body and caption mistakenly say Episode 4, although URL, date and events identify Episode 3. Used for prose only." } ], "topics": [ { "id": "five", "label": "The tight five", "question": "Five allies. Where was the sixth?", "deck": "They had each other. They still needed another vote.", "players": [ "Jelly", "Patt", "Brady", "Devin", "Mike" ], "public": [ { "author": "Difficult_Plan", "text": "Turns out being a tight five doesn’t matter when you’re in a tribe of 11.", "kind": "QUOTE", "label": "Comment excerpt", "url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1x0e7mg/survivor_51_e3_postepisode_discussion/" } ], "evidence": [ "Devin, Brady, Jelly, Patt and Mike made up five of Toka’s eleven players.", "Their plan was to vote out Kilby. They discussed needing a sixth vote.", "Patt received six votes; Kilby received five." ], "verdict": "Close, but short of a majority", "answer": "Five friends still needed a sixth vote.", "lesson": "The group was close. The available conversations don’t show that it had secured enough outside support to send Kilby home.", "limit": "We can’t match every ballot to a player, or say that being an obvious group was the sole reason Patt left.", "turn_ids": [ "T07", "T10" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-026", "EVD-S51E03-027", "EVD-S51E03-041" ], "record_ids": [], "headline_basis": { "method": "ADAPTED_FROM_PUBLIC_DISCUSSION_NOT_A_QUOTATION", "reviewed": "2026-10-12", "source_urls": [ "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1x0e7mg/survivor_51_e3_postepisode_discussion/" ] } }, { "id": "credit", "label": "Credit for the vote", "question": "Was this Thien An’s move?", "deck": "She changed the target. Carter and Lewis still had a choice.", "players": [ "Thien An", "Carter", "Lewis" ], "public": [ { "author": "IAreBlunt", "text": "Credits Thien An for getting her side to target Patt.", "kind": "PARAPHRASE", "label": "Comment paraphrase", "url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1x0e7mg/survivor_51_e3_postepisode_discussion/" }, { "author": "Stalukas", "text": "She chose the target but it was all up to Lewis and Carter", "kind": "QUOTE", "label": "Comment excerpt", "url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1x0e7mg/survivor_51_e3_postepisode_discussion/" } ], "evidence": [ "Thien An argued that Patt would be a bigger social threat than Mike. The group agreed to target Patt.", "Carter and Lewis weighed both sides. The official recap says both voted for Patt.", "When Thien An warned Brady about Patt, he dismissed the plan’s chances." ], "verdict": "Credit for the pitch", "answer": "Thien An gave the plan its target. She didn’t own every vote.", "lesson": "Her argument changed the discussion from Mike to Patt. Carter and Lewis also had their own reasons for wanting room to act. The result came from more than one player.", "limit": "The group’s agreement supports her contribution. Six Patt ballots don’t prove that six people voted for the same reason.", "turn_ids": [ "T08", "T09", "T10" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-030", "EVD-S51E03-031", "EVD-S51E03-032", "EVD-S51E03-041" ], "record_ids": [ "IP04", "IP05" ], "headline_basis": { "method": "ADAPTED_FROM_PUBLIC_DISCUSSION_NOT_A_QUOTATION", "reviewed": "2026-10-12", "source_urls": [ "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1x0e7mg/survivor_51_e3_postepisode_discussion/" ] } }, { "id": "carter", "label": "Carter’s accidental move", "question": "An accidental Power move?", "deck": "He missed his ride home. Suddenly, Toka was home.", "players": [ "Carter", "Brady", "Lewis" ], "public": [ { "author": "Wdshow", "text": "The Most Accidental Power Move EVER? 😂", "kind": "QUOTE", "label": "Discussion title", "url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1x13dih/the_most_accidental_power_move_ever/" } ], "evidence": [ "Carter missed the return boat. The host confirmed that he was now a Toka member.", "Brady liked their shared farm and football background and offered an alliance.", "Brady also saw through Carter’s attempt to downplay the advantage opportunity." ], "verdict": "An opening, with limits", "answer": "The missed boat gave Carter a new choice. It didn’t make every conversation work.", "lesson": "He got an alliance offer from Brady, then weighed his options with Lewis. The official recap says Carter voted for Patt. Being welcomed into a group hadn’t committed him to its plan.", "limit": "The alliance offer is the response counted here, not a promise of lasting protection. Carter also had an idol; no play of it is confirmed.", "turn_ids": [ "T05", "T10" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-021", "EVD-S51E03-022", "EVD-S51E03-023", "EVD-S51E03-032" ], "record_ids": [ "REF01", "IP06" ], "headline_basis": { "method": "ADAPTED_FROM_PUBLIC_DISCUSSION_NOT_A_QUOTATION", "reviewed": "2026-10-12", "source_urls": [ "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1x13dih/the_most_accidental_power_move_ever/" ] } }, { "id": "warning", "label": "Brady and the warning", "question": "Why didn’t Brady believe the warning?", "deck": "Patt’s name reached him. He thought the plan couldn’t work.", "players": [ "Brady", "Thien An", "Patt" ], "public": [ { "author": "AsaKurai", "text": "Brady isnt a dumb player, but an overly confident one", "kind": "QUOTE", "label": "Comment excerpt", "url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1x0e7mg/survivor_51_e3_postepisode_discussion/" } ], "evidence": [ "Thien An told Brady that the target discussion had shifted to Patt.", "He questioned the report and said the plan wouldn’t work, relying on his expected numbers.", "Patt went home on a 6–5 vote." ], "verdict": "His confidence didn’t hold up", "answer": "Brady trusted his expected numbers more than the warning.", "lesson": "He heard the information but rejected what it meant. The final vote contradicted his expectation. A warning can be accurate and still fail to persuade the person who needs to hear it.", "limit": "That fits the comment’s reading of his confidence. It doesn’t prove every private motive or that Brady could have saved Patt.", "turn_ids": [ "T09", "T10" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-031", "EVD-S51E03-041" ], "record_ids": [ "IP05" ], "headline_basis": { "method": "ADAPTED_FROM_PUBLIC_DISCUSSION_NOT_A_QUOTATION", "reviewed": "2026-10-12", "source_urls": [ "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1x0e7mg/survivor_51_e3_postepisode_discussion/" ] } } ], "audience": { "collected": "2026-10-12", "previous_collection": "2026-10-11", "scope": "Selected public discussion examples; not a representative viewer survey", "episode3_url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1x0e7mg/survivor_51_e3_postepisode_discussion/", "episode2_url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1wwa7hh/survivor_51_episodes_2_player_of_the_week_results/" } }