{ "artifact_id": "RPM-SV-US-S51E03-PH1-v01", "task_id": "RPM-TASK-20261008-212", "created_at": "2026-10-09T06:27:24Z", "phase": "1 — Data Collection", "status": "PHASE_1_COMPLETE_WITH_EXPLICIT_LIMITS", "show": "Survivor", "season": 51, "episode": 3, "episode_title": "What I’m Smellin’ Is Stinky", "air_date": "2026-10-07", "mode": "TEXTUAL_EPISODE_RECORD", "calibration": "QUALITATIVE_UNCALIBRATED", "scoring": "GOVERNED_SCORING_DISABLED", "audit_independence": "CODEX_SELF_AUDIT_NON_INDEPENDENT", "evidence_cutoff": "2026-10-09T06:27:24Z", "episode_time_boundary": "Released Episode 3 cut; Episode 4 preview excluded", "broadcast": { "eastern_start": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z", "eastern_end": "2026-10-08T01:30:00Z", "pacific_end": "2026-10-08T04:30:00Z", "end_plus_48_conservative": "2026-10-10T01:30:00Z", "actual_caption_t0": "UNKNOWN; DO_NOT_RESET_TO_COLLECTION", "timeliness": "COLLECTED_BEFORE_CONSERVATIVE_BROADCAST_END_PLUS_48", "precision_note": "Start/end based on official advertised 8:00–9:30 PM ET/PT schedule; first caption release not directly observed." }, "evidence_waves": [ { "id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "description": "Episode sequence and formal-fact corroboration; no postgame knowledge in Episode observations" }, { "id": "EW-S51E03-POSTGAME-v01", "description": "October 8 Patt/Rob Q&As; attributed later accounts, separately dated and no predecessor rewrite" } ], "sequential_review": { "cues_reviewed": 1553, "review_chunks": [ [ 1, 349 ], [ 350, 800 ], [ 801, 1200 ], [ 1201, 1553 ] ], "recap_cues": [ 1, 22 ], "main_episode_cues": [ 23, 1534 ], "caption_credit_cues": [ 1535, 1536 ], "future_preview_cues_excluded": [ 1537, 1544 ], "included_episode_exit_cues": [ 1545, 1553 ], "uncaptioned_intervals": "Music, transitions, visual-only material and final uncaptioned tail not claimed reviewed audiovisually", "official_alignment": [ { "player_time": "01:31", "srt_cues": [ 25, 27 ], "observation": "Matching Eric success statement and visible lower-third" }, { "player_time": "34:45", "srt_cues": [ 849, 850 ], "observation": "Matching host phrase about the steep platform" }, { "player_time": "34:59", "observation": "Official non-dialogue assent cue differs from SRT; retained as derivative limit" }, { "player_time": "01:02:30", "srt_cues": [ 1519, 1522 ], "observation": "Official caption shows five votes Patt at the five-five tie; matches the late vote-read sequence" } ] }, "source_registry_path": "source/source-registry.json", "accepted_and_governing_inputs": [ { "path": "outputs/survivor-methodology/RPM_Survivor_Methodology_v1_5.md", "sha256": "efa4bf52d2e9777e66eeb688886b34309a949c27f1bec87841c784897b1ed7d4", "use": "GOVERNANCE_OR_ACCEPTED_REFERENCE; NO_RECOLLECTION_OR_REWRITE" }, { "path": "outputs/survivor-methodology/RPM_Survivor_Season_51_Four_Phase_Runbook_v0_9.md", "sha256": "fa26c4868506c8535520e40a538195dfe658fa984006ccc31fff99b490bf849f", "use": "GOVERNANCE_OR_ACCEPTED_REFERENCE; NO_RECOLLECTION_OR_REWRITE" }, { "path": "outputs/survivor-methodology/RPM_Survivor_Season_51_Constitution_v0_5.md", "sha256": "c26ac4ce16a77d598953bc8d07cf8cc759cd8dae2a53c1045c0f3a028796e5e7", "use": "GOVERNANCE_OR_ACCEPTED_REFERENCE; NO_RECOLLECTION_OR_REWRITE" }, { "path": "outputs/survivor-methodology/RPM_Survivor_Spreadsheet_Information_Specification_v0_6.md", "sha256": "cc7443b64803a1c438c469824cd6aa039b30b61ddbd0cf9121fd17d03bb9628e", "use": "GOVERNANCE_OR_ACCEPTED_REFERENCE; 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NO_RECOLLECTION_OR_REWRITE" }, { "path": "outputs/survivor-s51e02-phase2-v01/RPM_Survivor_S51E02_C8_Acceptance_and_Freeze_v0_1.md", "sha256": "8136126f57f3c0c22698e7c32f6a404622537fd9f0e0d8483ac806b0a234ed84", "use": "GOVERNANCE_OR_ACCEPTED_REFERENCE; NO_RECOLLECTION_OR_REWRITE" }, { "path": "outputs/survivor-s51e02-retrospective-wave-v02/RPM_Survivor_S51E02_Retrospective_C8_Acceptance_v0_2.md", "sha256": "f49b7ae6b9f7b5df66056a35f178ecd5eeef8c9b739d7a404492916a728ad3b1", "use": "GOVERNANCE_OR_ACCEPTED_REFERENCE; NO_RECOLLECTION_OR_REWRITE" } ], "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-001", "event_group": 1, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 23, "cue_end": 35, "time_start": "00:01:26,620", "time_end": "00:01:57,451" }, "speakers": [ "Eric" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "SUBJECT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Eric describes the preceding Ana vote as a success and says it strengthened trust.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "His satisfaction/trust account does not establish every member’s trust or repair Episode 2’s tally.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-002", "event_group": 1, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 37, "cue_end": 61, "time_start": "00:01:58,952", "time_end": "00:02:44,865" }, "speakers": [ "Carter", "unnamed responders" ], "recipients": [ "Savu" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Carter says the Ana result surprised him, describes being on the bottom, and says he must find opportunity.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Unseen island position and future outcome are not established.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-003", "event_group": 1, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 67, "cue_end": 73, "time_start": "00:02:56,376", "time_end": "00:03:11,091" }, "speakers": [ "Ori" ], "recipients": [ "Sharonda (reported)" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RETROSPECTIVE_CONTEXT", "paraphrase": "Ori says he knew Ana would leave, voted Eric, and told Sharonda beforehand.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "ABOUT_PRIOR_EVENT", "epistemic_limit": "New Episode 3 account of Episode 2; preserve the accepted earlier tally/voter-map hold and do not silently amend it.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-004", "event_group": 2, "source_ids": [ "S02" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 75, "cue_end": 102, "time_start": "00:03:23,170", "time_end": "00:04:21,027" }, "speakers": [ "Rob" ], "recipients": [ "Eric (reported)" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Rob explains his attempted self-vote/rescue plan, distinguishes leaving medically from quitting, and reports pain and little sleep.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "ABOUT_PRIOR_EVENT", "epistemic_limit": "Own account; no confirmed infection, unseen injury chronology or recipient effect.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-005", "event_group": 2, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 103, "cue_end": 122, "time_start": "00:05:44,277", "time_end": "00:06:23,383" }, "speakers": [ "Rob", "Eric" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RECIPIENT_EFFECT", "paraphrase": "Eric describes Rob’s earlier warning and says he does not believe him; Rob voices health concerns.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Eric’s stated skepticism does not establish Rob’s medical condition or another player’s motive.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-006", "event_group": 2, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 128, "cue_end": 193, "time_start": "00:06:37,264", "time_end": "00:09:09,649" }, "speakers": [ "Rob", "Ori", "other unresolved speakers" ], "recipients": [ "Savu" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "THIRD_PARTY_OBSERVER", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Rob reports a possible infection. Ori explicitly suspects an easy exit; another speaker compares their own injured foot.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Allegations remain attributed opinion. Unnamed speaker turns and exact scene context are unresolved.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-007", "event_group": 2, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 194, "cue_end": 217, "time_start": "00:09:12,519", "time_end": "00:10:20,320" }, "speakers": [ "Dr. Barry", "Jeff", "Rob" ], "recipients": [ "Rob" ], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "The medical examination finds a small cut and no specific significant finding; Rob says infection risk is enough for him to leave.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Record the examination and Rob’s decision at their stated scope; do not diagnose or prove fabrication.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-008", "event_group": 2, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 224, "cue_end": 267, "time_start": "00:10:30,763", "time_end": "00:12:01,988" }, "speakers": [ "Jeff", "Rob", "Savu respondents" ], "recipients": [ "Savu" ], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "Jeff says medical is not pulling Rob. Rob departs voluntarily; Jeff states Savu has eight members and the game continues on day six.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Voluntary departure is distinct from a medical evacuation; private motive remains disputed.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-009", "event_group": 3, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 268, "cue_end": 283, "time_start": "00:12:02,088", "time_end": "00:12:40,126" }, "speakers": [ "Carter" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "Carter says Rob left him an idol with its paperwork and describes losing an ally.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Transfer/possession supported by Carter’s account and corroboration; precise rules/expiry and deployment effectiveness untested.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-010", "event_group": 4, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 284, "cue_end": 300, "time_start": "00:12:53,206", "time_end": "00:13:28,775" }, "speakers": [ "Lewis", "unresolved conversation partner" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "SUBJECT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Lewis says he has arrived late, is no one’s first or second choice, and sees Devin, Brady, Jelly, Patt and Mike as a tight five.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "His perceived position and group observation; durable group control not established.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-011", "event_group": 4, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 304, "cue_end": 333, "time_start": "00:13:44,057", "time_end": "00:14:52,892" }, "speakers": [ "Kilby", "unresolved partner" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Kilby describes concerns about Devin, says he wants reliable numbers, and uses a disconnected-controller comparison about Brady.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Own stated aim and presented wording; not proof he controls numbers or what Brady thinks.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-012", "event_group": 4, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 334, "cue_end": 356, "time_start": "00:14:52,992", "time_end": "00:15:36,335" }, "speakers": [ "Patt", "Brady", "additional unresolved speakers" ], "recipients": [ "Brady" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RECIPIENT_EFFECT", "paraphrase": "Patt relays the controller comparison. Brady interprets it as being treated as a pawn and rejects working for someone else.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Distinguish the relayed wording, Brady’s response and broader voting intent; whole-group change unproven.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-013", "event_group": 5, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 357, "cue_end": 400, "time_start": "00:15:37,336", "time_end": "00:17:21,406" }, "speakers": [ "tree-mail readers", "Carter", "Devin", "unresolved players" ], "recipients": [ "both tribes" ], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "Each tribe must send a visitor. Carter is selected by draw; Devin volunteers. Other players express reservations.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Selection procedures are recorded; a random draw is not social influence.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-014", "event_group": 5, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 401, "cue_end": 425, "time_start": "00:17:29,248", "time_end": "00:18:27,573" }, "speakers": [ "Carter", "Devin (rule readers)" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "Visitor instructions identify an advantage at the other beach and allow mutiny by letting the return boat leave without the visitor.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Rule text establishes an opportunity, not possession or a successful social effect.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-015", "event_group": 6, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 433, "cue_end": 505, "time_start": "00:18:44,557", "time_end": "00:21:01,694" }, "speakers": [ "Devin", "Sharonda", "unresolved Savu speakers" ], "recipients": [ "Savu", "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Devin shares Toka context and the mutiny option. Sharonda seeks a private alliance conversation; Devin discloses the ladle clue, they work on it, and Devin acquires an extra vote.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Text contains action/response candidates; acquisition and stated intent do not by themselves prove enduring alliance influence.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-017", "event_group": 7, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 506, "cue_end": 556, "time_start": "00:21:13,139", "time_end": "00:22:49,101" }, "speakers": [ "Carter", "Toka listeners" ], "recipients": [ "Toka" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Carter prioritizes finding connections, reports being outside the Savu vote, and names Sharonda/Linnea as leaders.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "His report of Savu leadership is perspective, not an accepted control finding; recipients’ identities are not complete.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-018", "event_group": 7, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 557, "cue_end": 576, "time_start": "00:22:57,776", "time_end": "00:24:04,777" }, "speakers": [ "Lewis", "unresolved Toka players" ], "recipients": [ "Toka" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Lewis describes looking in Carter’s bag; an envelope reveals the paddle clue, and players search the oars.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Text plus corroborated attribution; no complete visually observed search sequence or list of all participants.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-019", "event_group": 7, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 577, "cue_end": 609, "time_start": "00:24:06,045", "time_end": "00:25:21,120" }, "speakers": [ "Brady", "Maggie" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Brady and Maggie open an oar, locate the advantage, and discuss cooperating and ownership.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Physical details are text-reported; no independent competence/deference finding.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-020", "event_group": 7, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 610, "cue_end": 629, "time_start": "00:25:21,220", "time_end": "00:25:58,223" }, "speakers": [ "Brady", "Maggie (rule reader not fully resolved)" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "The extra-vote text expires at six remaining and extends through a tie/revote. Maggie asks for it; Brady seeks a vote-alignment promise and gives her the advantage.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Access/transfer and a stated promise are separate from compliance. No deployment or successful enforcement is shown.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-016", "event_group": 6, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 630, "cue_end": 698, "time_start": "00:26:00,192", "time_end": "00:28:19,865" }, "speakers": [ "Devin", "Ori", "unresolved Savu listeners" ], "recipients": [ "Ori", "Savu" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RECIPIENT_EFFECT", "paraphrase": "Devin criticizes Kilby, discloses the advantage to Ori, and returns to Toka. Ori says the disclosure matters because Devin still remembers their alliance.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Devin’s claims about Kilby remain attributed. Ori’s response is bounded to his stated trust, not a future vote or whole-tribe agreement.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-021", "event_group": 8, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 704, "cue_end": 765, "time_start": "00:28:28,540", "time_end": "00:30:43,342" }, "speakers": [ "Carter", "Brady" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RECIPIENT_EFFECT", "paraphrase": "Carter probes tribe divisions and conceals the additional advantage opportunity. Brady says he knows Carter is lying but wants him as an ally; Carter treats Brady’s reassurance cautiously.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Record belief, concealment and conditional reassurance; neither durable loyalty nor vote choice follows automatically.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-022", "event_group": 8, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 767, "cue_end": 797, "time_start": "00:30:48,013", "time_end": "00:32:05,857" }, "speakers": [ "Carter", "Jenna (reported)" ], "recipients": [ "Toka" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "Carter says he searches for the missing oars, sees the return boat leave, and becomes Toka under the stated mutiny rule.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "His account supports an unplanned missed departure; do not recast it as a fully deliberate switch or conclude others intentionally made him stay.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-023", "event_group": 9, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 798, "cue_end": 833, "time_start": "00:32:29,014", "time_end": "00:33:56,301" }, "speakers": [ "Jeff", "Kristin", "Ori" ], "recipients": [ "both tribes" ], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "Jeff confirms Rob’s departure, Carter’s mutiny, Toka at eleven and Savu at seven; Carter receives a Toka buff.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Counts and membership formal only; morale comments remain speaker reports.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-024", "event_group": 9, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 834, "cue_end": 1089, "time_start": "00:33:56,401", "time_end": "00:43:22,133" }, "speakers": [ "Jeff", "named challenge participants", "unresolved callers" ], "recipients": [ "both tribes" ], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "The combined immunity/reward challenge ends with Savu winning and receiving four hens; Toka must attend Tribal. Maggie, Kilby, Jelly and Mike sit out.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Challenge performance, host commentary and safety are not social Power findings; not all callers or puzzle actions are attributable from text.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-025", "event_group": 10, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1102, "cue_end": 1145, "time_start": "00:44:08,846", "time_end": "00:45:48,179" }, "speakers": [ "Kilby", "Devin", "unresolved Toka speakers" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Kilby says Devin forced his sit-out; Devin disputes the account and cites preserving Kilby for the next challenge. They discuss trust and accusations.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Competing accounts and hypothetical puzzle success remain unproved; no claim that Kilby would have won.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-026", "event_group": 10, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1146, "cue_end": 1199, "time_start": "00:45:48,279", "time_end": "00:47:48,933" }, "speakers": [ "Kilby", "Devin", "Toka five members (turns not all identified)" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Kilby tentatively names Patt, Jelly and Brady as sources of Devin’s criticism; Devin rejects that account. The five seek six votes against Kilby and identify Carter/Lewis as uncertain.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Preserve the tension with Devin’s earlier public criticism and distinguish denial from fact. No unanimous private motive or six firm commitments established.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-027", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1200, "cue_end": 1230, "time_start": "00:47:49,033", "time_end": "00:49:07,211" }, "speakers": [ "Lewis", "Carter" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Lewis and Carter describe a five-versus-four split with themselves between; they discuss deciding together and the risk of becoming targets.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "They are assessing available choices; sole ownership of the result is unproved.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-028", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1231, "cue_end": 1279, "time_start": "00:49:16,053", "time_end": "00:50:55,753" }, "speakers": [ "Kilby", "Maggie", "additional unresolved speakers" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Countertarget conversations protect some personal ties, discuss Mike, and show disagreement over whether Brady is aligned with Kilby.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Personal preferences and claimed ally priority are distinct from confirmed commitments.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-029", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S04" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1280, "cue_end": 1308, "time_start": "00:50:55,853", "time_end": "00:51:59,817" }, "speakers": [ "Brady", "five members (not all identifiable)" ], "recipients": [ "five" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Brady says Kilby does not know he is upset, describes being on both sides, and intends to target Kilby while outwardly agreeing with alternative targets.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Actor intention and confidence do not establish compliance or control of the eventual vote.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-030", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1309, "cue_end": 1347, "time_start": "00:51:59,917", "time_end": "00:53:18,028" }, "speakers": [ "Lewis", "Thien An", "Carter", "Kilby", "additional responders not all identified" ], "recipients": [ "countertarget group" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Lewis says he does not want the five to control the game. Thien An favors Patt over Mike because she sees Patt as better able to form other connections; recorded replies agree and request secrecy.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Thien An’s risk assessment is her belief, not demonstrated future influence by Patt; recipient turns are partly unresolved.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-031", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1348, "cue_end": 1366, "time_start": "00:53:18,128", "time_end": "00:54:01,271" }, "speakers": [ "Thien An", "Brady" ], "recipients": [ "Brady" ], "statement_context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RECIPIENT_EFFECT", "paraphrase": "Thien An warns Brady that Patt’s name is being discussed. Brady questions the report and says her plan cannot succeed because his group is larger.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "No evidence in this Episode text that Brady relays the warning to Patt; the next shown outcome is not sole-cause proof.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-032", "event_group": 11, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1367, "cue_end": 1391, "time_start": "00:54:10,047", "time_end": "00:55:17,548" }, "speakers": [ "Lewis", "Carter" ], "recipients": [ "each other" ], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Lewis describes Carter as an opportunity to act together; they weigh joining the five against having greater room in the other group.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Their discussion supports their stated choice criteria, not all six voters’ reasons or durable control.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-033", "event_group": 12, "source_ids": [ "S02" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1392, "cue_end": 1411, "time_start": "00:55:43,841", "time_end": "00:56:39,062" }, "speakers": [ "Jeff", "Brady" ], "recipients": [ "Tribal Council" ], "statement_context": "TRIBAL_PUBLIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Lewis lights his first Tribal torch. Brady describes plans becoming unsettled about an hour before Tribal.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Brady’s timing is a participant estimate; island chronology is not reconstructed beyond it.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-034", "event_group": 12, "source_ids": [ "S02" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1412, "cue_end": 1421, "time_start": "00:56:39,162", "time_end": "00:57:00,350" }, "speakers": [ "Lewis" ], "recipients": [ "Tribal Council" ], "statement_context": "TRIBAL_PUBLIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "SUBJECT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Lewis describes being overwhelmed by the number of relationships and worried about information circulating.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Own stated feeling and concern; does not establish how others feel.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-035", "event_group": 12, "source_ids": [ "S02" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1422, "cue_end": 1436, "time_start": "00:57:00,450", "time_end": "00:57:34,718" }, "speakers": [ "Carter" ], "recipients": [ "Tribal Council" ], "statement_context": "TRIBAL_PUBLIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Carter says it is difficult to locate six people and that he is trying to understand the tribe.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Strategic public explanation, not a complete commitment map.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-036", "event_group": 12, "source_ids": [ "S02" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1437, "cue_end": 1448, "time_start": "00:57:34,818", "time_end": "00:58:00,944" }, "speakers": [ "Jenna" ], "recipients": [ "Tribal Council" ], "statement_context": "TRIBAL_PUBLIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "SUBJECT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Jenna describes factions and blurred lines and says the vote will clarify them.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Perceived group state; durable future boundaries are not yet shown.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-037", "event_group": 12, "source_ids": [ "S02" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1449, "cue_end": 1457, "time_start": "00:58:01,044", "time_end": "00:58:21,331" }, "speakers": [ "Devin" ], "recipients": [ "Tribal Council" ], "statement_context": "TRIBAL_PUBLIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Devin says another minority vote could require him to play differently and invites a group breath.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "No compliance or emotional effect is inferred from unseen reactions.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-038", "event_group": 12, "source_ids": [ "S02" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1458, "cue_end": 1473, "time_start": "00:58:21,431", "time_end": "00:58:58,869" }, "speakers": [ "Jelly", "Carter" ], "recipients": [ "Tribal Council" ], "statement_context": "TRIBAL_PUBLIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Jelly weighs a big move against her game interest; Carter agrees that the tribe needs more structure.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Public agreement does not prove he votes with Jelly or that everyone accepts the same plan.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-039", "event_group": 12, "source_ids": [ "S02" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1474, "cue_end": 1482, "time_start": "00:59:01,505", "time_end": "00:59:24,261" }, "speakers": [ "Kilby" ], "recipients": [ "Tribal Council" ], "statement_context": "TRIBAL_PUBLIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "SUBJECT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Kilby says he feels sick, needs to trust someone, and does not want to miss danger.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Use his words for his stated feeling; do not infer emotion from expressions.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-040", "event_group": 12, "source_ids": [ "S02" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1483, "cue_end": 1498, "time_start": "00:59:24,361", "time_end": "01:00:01,364" }, "speakers": [ "Patt" ], "recipients": [ "Tribal Council" ], "statement_context": "TRIBAL_PUBLIC_SPEECH", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "ACTOR_INTENT", "paraphrase": "Patt hopes truth and trust can create a firmer group foundation.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "A public wish is not proof that voters trust her or intend to protect her.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-041", "event_group": 13, "source_ids": [ "S02", "S03", "S04", "S05" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1499, "cue_end": 1534, "time_start": "01:00:03,967", "time_end": "01:03:35,011" }, "speakers": [ "Jeff", "unresolved voting speakers" ], "recipients": [ "Toka" ], "statement_context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "DIRECT_WITNESS", "claim_function": "FORMAL_RULE_OR_RESULT", "paraphrase": "The read alternates Kilby and Patt to five each with one ballot left; the final ballot eliminates Patt. Eleven counted ballots produce six Patt, five Kilby.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "NOT_ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": false, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Final total is corroborated. Individual voter identities/extra-vote mechanics are not established by read order. The host’s ordinal wording conflicts with three vote exits versus four total departures.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-042", "event_group": 14, "source_ids": [ "S02" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-EPISODE-v01", "locator": { "cue_start": 1545, "cue_end": 1553, "time_start": "01:04:20,390", "time_end": "01:04:38,808" }, "speakers": [ "Patt" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE", "interview_timing_status": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "speaker_claim_role": "SUBJECT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "OCCURRENCE", "paraphrase": "Patt’s included exit comments describe surprise, disappointment at leaving early and wanting revenge.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_TEXT", "statement_content_truth_status": "BOUNDED_BY_SPEAKER_ROLE_AND_LIMIT", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Text names/address/self-reference; listed recaps corroborate attribution where available. Unnamed turns remain unresolved.", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": "NO_POSTGAME_KNOWLEDGE_ADMITTED", "epistemic_limit": "Post-elimination words in the same Episode cut; do not infer private reactions or future action.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-043", "event_group": 15, "source_ids": [ "S06" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-POSTGAME-v01", "locator": "Q&A: Did Brady tell you about the swing? / Was it betrayal or mistake?", "speakers": [ "Patt" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW", "interview_timing_status": "AFTER_EXIT_AND_EPISODE_BROADCAST", "speaker_claim_role": "SUBJECT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RETROSPECTIVE_CONTEXT", "paraphrase": "Patt says Brady did not pass on the warning; she regards it as a mistake and credits Thien An for the target change.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_INTERVIEW", "statement_content_truth_status": "ATTRIBUTED_SELF_REPORT_ONLY", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Named participant in published Q&A", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": true, "epistemic_limit": "Patt directly describes what she heard; her judgment of Brady’s belief and Thien An’s overall role is later attribution, not independent proof.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-044", "event_group": 15, "source_ids": [ "S06" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-POSTGAME-v01", "locator": "Q&A: Who convinced you it was Mike? / Did you consider Shot in the Dark?", "speakers": [ "Patt" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW", "interview_timing_status": "AFTER_EXIT_AND_EPISODE_BROADCAST", "speaker_claim_role": "RECIPIENT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RETROSPECTIVE_CONTEXT", "paraphrase": "Patt says she expected Mike or Kilby, heard Kilby indicate Mike, and did not consider Shot in the Dark because she wanted her vote.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_INTERVIEW", "statement_content_truth_status": "ATTRIBUTED_SELF_REPORT_ONLY", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Named participant in published Q&A", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": true, "epistemic_limit": "Later recipient account; no silent addition of unseen dialogue to the original Episode layer.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-045", "event_group": 15, "source_ids": [ "S06" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-POSTGAME-v01", "locator": "Q&A: More fallout from Kilby’s controller comparison?", "speakers": [ "Patt" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW", "interview_timing_status": "AFTER_EXIT_AND_EPISODE_BROADCAST", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RETROSPECTIVE_CONTEXT", "paraphrase": "Patt says she saved Kilby’s remark and relayed it when Brady became concerned about her, returning his attention to Kilby.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_INTERVIEW", "statement_content_truth_status": "ATTRIBUTED_SELF_REPORT_ONLY", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Named participant in published Q&A", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": true, "epistemic_limit": "Her later intent/response account is not direct evidence of Brady’s private motive.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-046", "event_group": 16, "source_ids": [ "S07" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-POSTGAME-v01", "locator": "Q&A: Health check / Why exit / Did doctor check swollen nodes?", "speakers": [ "Rob" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW", "interview_timing_status": "AFTER_EXIT_AND_EPISODE_BROADCAST", "speaker_claim_role": "SUBJECT_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RETROSPECTIVE_CONTEXT", "paraphrase": "Rob says unreported symptoms and fear of infection drove his exit; he says he did not tell medical about swollen lymph nodes.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_INTERVIEW", "statement_content_truth_status": "ATTRIBUTED_SELF_REPORT_ONLY", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Named participant in published Q&A", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": true, "epistemic_limit": "Unverified later health account. No medical records, diagnosis or confirmation; does not convert the voluntary departure into an evacuation.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E03-047", "event_group": 16, "source_ids": [ "S07" ], "evidence_wave_id": "EW-S51E03-POSTGAME-v01", "locator": "Q&A: Response to Jeff’s Field Notes / Episode 2 rescue plan", "speakers": [ "Rob" ], "recipients": [], "statement_context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW", "interview_timing_status": "AFTER_EXIT_AND_EPISODE_BROADCAST", "speaker_claim_role": "ACTOR_SELF_REPORT", "claim_function": "RETROSPECTIVE_CONTEXT", "paraphrase": "Rob says injury prompted his attempted self-vote, he wanted Eric to stay, and he did not know the Ana switch.", "statement_occurrence_status": "PRESENT_IN_REVIEWED_INTERVIEW", "statement_content_truth_status": "ATTRIBUTED_SELF_REPORT_ONLY", "speaker_attribution_basis": "Named participant in published Q&A", "self_report_status": "SELF_REPORT", "strategic_performance_risk": true, "hindsight_risk": true, "epistemic_limit": "Later own-intent account about Episode 2. Prior accepted Episode and addendum remain unchanged.", "retrospective_effect": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } ], "events": [ { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-01", "title": "Savu after the Ana vote", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-001", "EVD-S51E03-002", "EVD-S51E03-003" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-02", "title": "Rob’s concern, examination and voluntary departure", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-004", "EVD-S51E03-005", "EVD-S51E03-006", "EVD-S51E03-007", "EVD-S51E03-008" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-03", "title": "Idol transfer to Carter", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-009" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-04", "title": "Toka relationships and controller remark", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-010", "EVD-S51E03-011", "EVD-S51E03-012" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-05", "title": "Visitor selection and rule instructions", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-013", "EVD-S51E03-014" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-06", "title": "Devin’s Savu visit", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-015", "EVD-S51E03-016" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-07", "title": "Carter’s visit and Toka extra-vote discovery", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-017", "EVD-S51E03-018", "EVD-S51E03-019", "EVD-S51E03-020" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-08", "title": "Carter and Brady / missed return boat", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-021", "EVD-S51E03-022" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-09", "title": "New tribal counts and challenge", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-023", "EVD-S51E03-024" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-10", "title": "Sit-out dispute and Kilby target", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-025", "EVD-S51E03-026" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-11", "title": "Two vote plans and warnings", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-027", "EVD-S51E03-028", "EVD-S51E03-029", "EVD-S51E03-030", "EVD-S51E03-031", "EVD-S51E03-032" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-12", "title": "Tribal public discussion", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-033", "EVD-S51E03-034", "EVD-S51E03-035", "EVD-S51E03-036", "EVD-S51E03-037", "EVD-S51E03-038", "EVD-S51E03-039", "EVD-S51E03-040" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-13", "title": "Vote read and Patt elimination", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-041" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-14", "title": "Episode exit words", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-042" ], "layer": "EPISODE_RELEASED_RECORD", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-15", "title": "Patt’s later Q&A", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-043", "EVD-S51E03-044", "EVD-S51E03-045" ], "layer": "LATER_PARTICIPANT_ACCOUNT", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" }, { "event_id": "EVT-S51E03-16", "title": "Rob’s later Q&A", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-046", "EVD-S51E03-047" ], "layer": "LATER_PARTICIPANT_ACCOUNT", "power_interpretation": "NOT_ASSESSED_PHASE_2" } ], "chronology_note": "Caption locators preserve edit order. Event groups can span nonadjacent cuts and are an index, not proof of island chronology.", "formal_resources": [ { "resource_id": "FR01", "resource": "Rob’s idol transferred to Carter", "rule": "Idol paperwork identified; full timing/expiry not captured", "access": "Carter reports receipt from Rob; corroborated", "activation": "TRANSFER_RECORDED", "deployment": "NO_DEPLOYMENT_CONFIRMED", "formal_response": "POSSESSION_ONLY", "human_response": "Carter describes relief", "group_response": "UNOBSERVED", "cost": "Rob leaves; transfer terms unknown", "conversion": "OWNERSHIP_TRANSFER", "expiry": "UNKNOWN", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-009" ] }, { "resource_id": "FR02", "resource": "Devin’s extra vote", "rule": "Extra vote acquired at Savu well; exact Devin document expiry not read in text", "access": "Devin with Sharonda retrieves it", "activation": "ACQUIRED", "deployment": "NO_DEPLOYMENT_CONFIRMED", "formal_response": "POSSESSION_ONLY", "human_response": "Ori says disclosure matters", "group_response": "UNRESOLVED", "cost": "No vote forfeiture stated", "conversion": "UNOBSERVED", "expiry": "DO_NOT_AUTOMATICALLY_COPY_MAGGIE_DOCUMENT_TERMS", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-015", "EVD-S51E03-016" ] }, { "resource_id": "FR03", "resource": "Toka extra vote transferred to Maggie", "rule": "Usable through six remaining; extends through tie/revote", "access": "Brady initially secures parchment and hands it to Maggie", "activation": "ACQUIRED_AND_TRANSFERRED", "deployment": "NO_DEPLOYMENT_CONFIRMED", "formal_response": "MAGGIE_POSSESSION", "human_response": "Maggie promises to vote with Brady during transfer", "group_response": "COMPLIANCE_NOT_ESTABLISHED", "cost": "Stated vote-alignment promise; enforcement not observed", "conversion": "BRADY_TO_MAGGIE", "expiry": "SIX_REMAINING", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-019", "EVD-S51E03-020" ] }, { "resource_id": "FR04", "resource": "Visit and mutiny option", "rule": "May join visited tribe by allowing return boat to leave without you", "access": "Carter by draw; Devin by volunteering", "activation": "BOTH_VISIT", "deployment": "CARTER_REMAINS; DEVIN_RETURNS", "formal_response": "CARTER_TOKA_MEMBER_CONFIRMED_BY_HOST", "human_response": "Carter reports missing departure while searching", "group_response": "NEW_MEMBERSHIP_ACCEPTED_AT_CHALLENGE", "cost": "Leaving original tribe; advantage opportunity not secured by Carter", "conversion": "SAVU_TO_TOKA", "expiry": "RETURN_BOAT_DEPARTURE", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-013", "EVD-S51E03-014", "EVD-S51E03-022", "EVD-S51E03-023" ] }, { "resource_id": "FR05", "resource": "Savu tribal immunity and reward", "rule": "Challenge winner safe from vote and receives four hens; Toka sits four, not same sit-outs consecutively", "access": "Both tribes compete", "activation": "CHALLENGE_COMPLETED", "deployment": "SAVU_WINS", "formal_response": "SAVU_SAFE; TOKA_TRIBAL", "human_response": "Recorded challenge cooperation; no social effect inferred", "group_response": "RESULT_ACCEPTED", "cost": "Challenge effort", "conversion": "SAFETY_AND_REWARD", "expiry": "EPISODE_3_TRIBAL_SAFETY", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-024" ] }, { "resource_id": "FR06", "resource": "Jelly’s prior idol / other prior resources", "rule": "Reuse exact accepted Episode 2 formal-resource record", "access": "BY_PRIOR_ACCEPTED_REFERENCE_ONLY", "activation": "NO_NEW_ACTIVATION_CONFIRMED", "deployment": "NO_NEW_DEPLOYMENT_CONFIRMED", "formal_response": "NO_NEW_CONFIRMED_CHANGE", "human_response": "UNOBSERVED", "group_response": "UNOBSERVED", "cost": "NO_NEW_CONFIRMED_COST", "conversion": "UNOBSERVED", "expiry": "BY_PRIOR_REFERENCE", "evidence_ids": [], "accepted_input_reference": "Episode 2 Phase 1 manifest and workbook" } ], "formal_outcomes": { "rob_exit": "VOLUNTARY_DEPARTURE; NOT_MEDICALLY_PULLED", "carter_tribe": "TOKA", "before_challenge": { "Toka": 11, "Savu": 7 }, "challenge_winner": "SAVU", "reward": "FOUR_EGG_LAYING_HENS", "Toka_sitouts": [ "Maggie", "Kilby", "Jelly", "Mike" ], "tribal": "TOKA", "eliminated": "PATT", "tally": { "Patt": 6, "Kilby": 5, "counted_ballots": 11, "status": "CAPTION_AND_OFFICIAL_RECAP_AND_TWO_RECAPS_AGREE" }, "after_episode": { "Toka": 10, "Savu": 7, "total_active": 17 }, "individual_ballots": [], "reported_partial_vote_map": [ { "player": "Carter", "target": "Patt", "source_id": "S03", "status": "OFFICIAL_REPORT_NOT_DIRECT_BALLOT" }, { "player": "Lewis", "target": "Patt", "source_id": "S03", "status": "OFFICIAL_REPORT_NOT_DIRECT_BALLOT" } ], "extra_vote_deployment": "UNCONFIRMED; NO_COMPLETE_BALLOT_CAPACITY_LEDGER" }, "proposed_audience_question": { "text": "Why did Patt go home after Brady heard that her name was being discussed?", "status": "EVIDENCE_SUGGESTED; JAMES_PUBLIC_FRAMING_NOT_YET_SELECTED", "supporting_evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E03-031", "EVD-S51E03-041" ], "answer": "NOT_ANALYZED_PHASE_2" }, "issues": [ { "issue_id": "ISS01", "scope": "SOURCE_CLOCK", "status": "LIMIT", "detail": "First working official-cut and caption availability not observed. Publisher availability/publication fields differ. Collection was before even broadcast-end +48 hours; do not reset T+0 to collection.", "dependent_claim": "Exact first-availability/timeliness anchor" }, { "issue_id": "ISS02", "scope": "VISUAL_MODALITY", "status": "LIMIT", "detail": "Caption review complete; audiovisual review bounded to spot checks. No visual-only/nonverbal motive, whisper text or ballots admitted.", "dependent_claim": "Any claim requiring unreviewed visual detail" }, { "issue_id": "ISS03", "scope": "SPEAKER_AND_CONTEXT", "status": "LIMIT", "detail": "Some caption turns do not identify speaker or interview camera context. Keep unresolved identities and CONTEXT_INDETERMINATE; recaps corroborate named attribution but add no hidden words.", "dependent_claim": "Precise individual attribution in unresolved turns" }, { "issue_id": "ISS04", "scope": "BALLOT_MAP", "status": "LIMIT", "detail": "6–5 final tally corroborated; no complete direct voter ledger. Carter/Lewis voting Patt is official reporting, not a visually verified ballot. Do not infer all motives, vote capacity or extra-vote nonuse.", "dependent_claim": "Full named voter map, individual vote counts, extra-vote deployment" }, { "issue_id": "ISS05", "scope": "ORDINAL", "status": "CONFLICT_PRESERVED", "detail": "Episode caption/host calls Patt the fourth person voted out; official recap says third voted out/fourth departure. Rob left voluntarily. Use the named result and distinguish departures from vote eliminations.", "dependent_claim": "Exact exit-type ordinal" }, { "issue_id": "ISS06", "scope": "ROB_HEALTH_AND_MOTIVE", "status": "DISPUTED_ATTRIBUTION", "detail": "The Episode medical check does not pull Rob. Players suspect an easy exit; Rob later attributes it to unreported symptoms. Neither opinion establishes a diagnosis or fabrication.", "dependent_claim": "True medical cause or sole private motive" }, { "issue_id": "ISS07", "scope": "EARLIER_EPISODE", "status": "PROTECTED", "detail": "Ori and Rob discuss Episode 2 in the new record. Prior 6–4/5–4 conflict, voter-map limits, and accepted packages remain unchanged.", "dependent_claim": "Retrospective repair of Episode 2" }, { "issue_id": "ISS08", "scope": "GOVERNANCE_AVAILABILITY", "status": "DISCLOSED", "detail": "Technical Record v104 absent at indexed path; current workflow, Survivor v1.5 and runbook v0.9 inspected. No claim to inspect absent text.", "dependent_claim": "Assertions about absent v104 contents" } ], "power_effects": [], "scores": [], "ranks": [], "claims": [], "conclusions": [], "public_copy": [], "page_changes": [], "next_phase_authority": "NOT_SUPPLIED_BY_THIS_PHASE_1_REQUEST", "publication": "NOT_REQUESTED_NOT_STARTED" }