{ "episode": { "season": 51, "episode": 2, "title": "Weaponized Honesty", "air_date": "2026-09-30", "scope": "Original Episode 2 wave; separate accepted October 3 update. Season history stops at E2." }, "tribes": [ "Toka", "Savu" ], "episodes": [ 1, 2 ], "records": [ { "id": "PE-S51E02-A01-INF", "short_id": "R01", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Ana" ], "players": [ "Ana" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "BACKFIRED", "action": "Ana deliberately seeds multiple names to create a rift.", "response": "The names later circulate back as evidence that Ana is naming people.", "limit": "Backfire is bounded to the presented information chain; it does not make Ana the sole cause of her elimination.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-002" ], "event_id": "EVT-S51E02-002", "later_account": false, "source_row": 10, "original": { "_source_row": 10, "Power_Effect_ID": "PE-S51E02-A01-INF", "Event_ID": "EVT-S51E02-002", "Cycle_ID": "US-S51E02-C02", "Actor_ID": "PLY-S51-ANA", "Target_ID": "PLY-S51-CARTER; PLY-S51-LINNEA; PLY-S51-SHARONDA", "Power_Component": "INFORMATIONAL", "Power_Subtype": "NAME_SEEDING_BACKFIRE", "Component_Basis_or_Resource": "Ana deliberately seeds multiple names to create a rift.", "Observation_Opportunity_Status": "OBSERVED_IN_BOUNDED_EPISODE_RECORD", "Actor_Action_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-002", "Target_Receipt_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-002", "Target_Response_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-002", "Component_Stage_Status": "CONVERTED_POWER", "Primary_or_Cross_Effect": "PRIMARY", "Effect_Disposition": "BACKFIRED", "Effect_Direction": "NEGATIVE", "Effect_Scope": "GROUP", "Evidence_Stage": "ACTION_RECEIPT_RESPONSE_AS_AVAILABLE", "Target_Response_Status": "The names later circulate back as evidence that Ana is naming people.", "Response_Attribution_Status": "SUPPORTED_CONTRIBUTION_SHARED_CAUSATION", "Mechanism": "Ana deliberately seeds multiple names to create a rift.", "Consequence": "The maneuver supplies information that later contributes to concern about Ana.", "Threshold_Relevance": "QUALITATIVE_EFFECT_SCORING_DISABLED", "Global_Score_Change_Confirmed_Flag": "0", "Alternative_Explanation": "Alexis's framing, Linnea and Sharonda's choices, Ana's decoy offer, and unshown conversations also contribute.", "Contrary_Event_ID": "", "Confidence": "MEDIUM_HIGH", "Analyst": "Codex Phase 2 analyst; non-independent self-audit", "SV5_Audit_Status": "PASS_NON_INDEPENDENT", "Claim_Stop": "Backfire is bounded to the presented information chain; it does not make Ana the sole cause of her elimination.", "Season_ID": "US-S51", "Record_Status": "AUDITED", "Revision_No": "1", "Supersedes_Record_ID": "", "Created_At": "46297.218788645834", "Created_By": "Codex", "Last_Verified_At": "46297.218788645834", "Notes": "Primary scan A01. Caption-grounded; visual and nonverbal inference prohibited.", "Epistemic_Eligibility_Status": "SUPPORTS_BOUNDED_CLAIM", "Conclusion_ID": "CONC-S51E02-001", "Calculation_Status": "NOT_APPLICABLE_SCORING_DISABLED" } }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A02-INF", "short_id": "R02", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Alexis" ], "players": [ "Alexis" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Alexis spreads that Ana is naming other players.", "response": "Linnea and Sharonda discuss Ana as a concern after the warning circulates.", "limit": "Supports a contribution to target formation, not sole authorship, majority control, or a verified exact voter map.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-003" ], "event_id": "EVT-S51E02-003", "later_account": false, "source_row": 16, "original": { "_source_row": 16, "Power_Effect_ID": "PE-S51E02-A02-INF", "Event_ID": "EVT-S51E02-003", "Cycle_ID": "US-S51E02-C02", "Actor_ID": "PLY-S51-ALEXIS", "Target_ID": "PLY-S51-LINNEA; PLY-S51-SHARONDA", "Power_Component": "INFORMATIONAL", "Power_Subtype": "CONCERN_CIRCULATION", "Component_Basis_or_Resource": "Alexis spreads that Ana is naming other players.", "Observation_Opportunity_Status": "OBSERVED_IN_BOUNDED_EPISODE_RECORD", "Actor_Action_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-003", "Target_Receipt_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-003", "Target_Response_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-003", "Component_Stage_Status": "CONVERTED_POWER", "Primary_or_Cross_Effect": "PRIMARY", "Effect_Disposition": "WORKED", "Effect_Direction": "POSITIVE", "Effect_Scope": "GROUP", "Evidence_Stage": "ACTION_RECEIPT_RESPONSE_AS_AVAILABLE", "Target_Response_Status": "Linnea and Sharonda discuss Ana as a concern after the warning circulates.", "Response_Attribution_Status": "SUPPORTED_CONTRIBUTION_SHARED_CAUSATION", "Mechanism": "Alexis spreads that Ana is naming other players.", "Consequence": "The information helps create a visible pathway for Ana to become a target.", "Threshold_Relevance": "QUALITATIVE_EFFECT_SCORING_DISABLED", "Global_Score_Change_Confirmed_Flag": "0", "Alternative_Explanation": "Ana's own prior behavior and other unshown conversations also contribute.", "Contrary_Event_ID": "", "Confidence": "MEDIUM_HIGH", "Analyst": "Codex Phase 2 analyst; non-independent self-audit", "SV5_Audit_Status": "PASS_NON_INDEPENDENT", "Claim_Stop": "Supports a contribution to target formation, not sole authorship, majority control, or a verified exact voter map.", "Season_ID": "US-S51", "Record_Status": "AUDITED", "Revision_No": "1", "Supersedes_Record_ID": "", "Created_At": "46297.218788645834", "Created_By": "Codex", "Last_Verified_At": "46297.218788645834", "Notes": "Primary scan A02. Caption-grounded; visual and nonverbal inference prohibited.", "Epistemic_Eligibility_Status": "SUPPORTS_BOUNDED_CLAIM", "Conclusion_ID": "CONC-S51E02-002", "Calculation_Status": "NOT_APPLICABLE_SCORING_DISABLED" } }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A04-INF", "short_id": "R03", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Jelly" ], "players": [ "Jelly" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Jelly discloses the idol to Patt.", "response": "Patt says the disclosure cements the relationship and immediately proposes planning together.", "limit": "This is an Informational effect with a relationship consequence; it does not by itself establish Referent Power or a durable alliance.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-011" ], "event_id": "EVT-S51E02-011", "later_account": false, "source_row": 28, "original": { "_source_row": 28, "Power_Effect_ID": "PE-S51E02-A04-INF", "Event_ID": "EVT-S51E02-011", "Cycle_ID": "US-S51E02-C02", "Actor_ID": "PLY-S51-JELLY", "Target_ID": "PLY-S51-PATT", "Power_Component": "INFORMATIONAL", "Power_Subtype": "RESOURCE_DISCLOSURE", "Component_Basis_or_Resource": "Jelly discloses the idol to Patt.", "Observation_Opportunity_Status": "OBSERVED_IN_BOUNDED_EPISODE_RECORD", "Actor_Action_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-011", "Target_Receipt_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-011", "Target_Response_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-011", "Component_Stage_Status": "CONVERTED_POWER", "Primary_or_Cross_Effect": "PRIMARY", "Effect_Disposition": "WORKED", "Effect_Direction": "POSITIVE", "Effect_Scope": "DYADIC", "Evidence_Stage": "ACTION_RECEIPT_RESPONSE_AS_AVAILABLE", "Target_Response_Status": "Patt says the disclosure cements the relationship and immediately proposes planning together.", "Response_Attribution_Status": "DIRECTLY_ATTRIBUTED_CONTRIBUTION", "Mechanism": "Jelly discloses the idol to Patt.", "Consequence": "Patt changes the relationship and planning state in the recorded exchange.", "Threshold_Relevance": "QUALITATIVE_EFFECT_SCORING_DISABLED", "Global_Score_Change_Confirmed_Flag": "0", "Alternative_Explanation": "The disclosure may reinforce an emerging bond rather than create it from nothing.", "Contrary_Event_ID": "", "Confidence": "HIGH", "Analyst": "Codex Phase 2 analyst; non-independent self-audit", "SV5_Audit_Status": "PASS_NON_INDEPENDENT", "Claim_Stop": "This is an Informational effect with a relationship consequence; it does not by itself establish Referent Power or a durable alliance.", "Season_ID": "US-S51", "Record_Status": "AUDITED", "Revision_No": "1", "Supersedes_Record_ID": "", "Created_At": "46297.218788645834", "Created_By": "Codex", "Last_Verified_At": "46297.218788645834", "Notes": "Primary scan A04. Caption-grounded; visual and nonverbal inference prohibited.", "Epistemic_Eligibility_Status": "CAUSALLY_SUPPORTED_BOUNDED", "Conclusion_ID": "CONC-S51E02-004", "Calculation_Status": "NOT_APPLICABLE_SCORING_DISABLED" } }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A05-INF", "short_id": "R04", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Ana" ], "players": [ "Ana" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "MIXED", "action": "Ana offers herself as the decoy target for the Eric plan.", "response": "The group accepts Ana's name as the decoy communicated to Eric.", "limit": "The decoy is a mixed contribution, not proof that the offer alone causes Ana's elimination.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-015" ], "event_id": "EVT-S51E02-015", "later_account": false, "source_row": 34, "original": { "_source_row": 34, "Power_Effect_ID": "PE-S51E02-A05-INF", "Event_ID": "EVT-S51E02-015", "Cycle_ID": "US-S51E02-C02", "Actor_ID": "PLY-S51-ANA", "Target_ID": "PLY-S51-ERIC; TRIBE-S51-SAVU", "Power_Component": "INFORMATIONAL", "Power_Subtype": "SELF_DECOY_PROPOSAL", "Component_Basis_or_Resource": "Ana offers herself as the decoy target for the Eric plan.", "Observation_Opportunity_Status": "OBSERVED_IN_BOUNDED_EPISODE_RECORD", "Actor_Action_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-015", "Target_Receipt_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-015", "Target_Response_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-015", "Component_Stage_Status": "CONVERTED_POWER", "Primary_or_Cross_Effect": "PRIMARY", "Effect_Disposition": "MIXED", "Effect_Direction": "MIXED", "Effect_Scope": "GROUP", "Evidence_Stage": "ACTION_RECEIPT_RESPONSE_AS_AVAILABLE", "Target_Response_Status": "The group accepts Ana's name as the decoy communicated to Eric.", "Response_Attribution_Status": "SUPPORTED_CONTRIBUTION_SHARED_CAUSATION", "Mechanism": "Ana offers herself as the decoy target for the Eric plan.", "Consequence": "Her proposal works immediately as a decoy but also places her name into the active vote conversation.", "Threshold_Relevance": "QUALITATIVE_EFFECT_SCORING_DISABLED", "Global_Score_Change_Confirmed_Flag": "0", "Alternative_Explanation": "Prior distrust, later information circulation, and independent voter choices remain material.", "Contrary_Event_ID": "", "Confidence": "MEDIUM_HIGH", "Analyst": "Codex Phase 2 analyst; non-independent self-audit", "SV5_Audit_Status": "PASS_NON_INDEPENDENT", "Claim_Stop": "The decoy is a mixed contribution, not proof that the offer alone causes Ana's elimination.", "Season_ID": "US-S51", "Record_Status": "AUDITED", "Revision_No": "1", "Supersedes_Record_ID": "", "Created_At": "46297.218788645834", "Created_By": "Codex", "Last_Verified_At": "46297.218788645834", "Notes": "Primary scan A05. Caption-grounded; visual and nonverbal inference prohibited.", "Epistemic_Eligibility_Status": "SUPPORTS_BOUNDED_CLAIM", "Conclusion_ID": "CONC-S51E02-005", "Calculation_Status": "NOT_APPLICABLE_SCORING_DISABLED" } }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A06-INF", "short_id": "R05", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Linnea" ], "players": [ "Linnea" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Linnea relays that Ana has been naming players.", "response": "Sharonda adopts the concern and carries Ana's name into the next decision exchange.", "limit": "Supports a relay contribution only, not authorship of the vote or control over Sharonda.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-016" ], "event_id": "EVT-S51E02-016", "later_account": false, "source_row": 40, "original": { "_source_row": 40, "Power_Effect_ID": "PE-S51E02-A06-INF", "Event_ID": "EVT-S51E02-016", "Cycle_ID": "US-S51E02-C02", "Actor_ID": "PLY-S51-LINNEA", "Target_ID": "PLY-S51-SHARONDA", "Power_Component": "INFORMATIONAL", "Power_Subtype": "CONCERN_RELAY", "Component_Basis_or_Resource": "Linnea relays that Ana has been naming players.", "Observation_Opportunity_Status": "OBSERVED_IN_BOUNDED_EPISODE_RECORD", "Actor_Action_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-016", "Target_Receipt_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-016", "Target_Response_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-016", "Component_Stage_Status": "CONVERTED_POWER", "Primary_or_Cross_Effect": "PRIMARY", "Effect_Disposition": "WORKED", "Effect_Direction": "POSITIVE", "Effect_Scope": "DYADIC", "Evidence_Stage": "ACTION_RECEIPT_RESPONSE_AS_AVAILABLE", "Target_Response_Status": "Sharonda adopts the concern and carries Ana's name into the next decision exchange.", "Response_Attribution_Status": "SUPPORTED_CONTRIBUTION_SHARED_CAUSATION", "Mechanism": "Linnea relays that Ana has been naming players.", "Consequence": "The information moves from concern to active target advocacy.", "Threshold_Relevance": "QUALITATIVE_EFFECT_SCORING_DISABLED", "Global_Score_Change_Confirmed_Flag": "0", "Alternative_Explanation": "Sharonda may already have concerns; the complete private deliberation is not shown.", "Contrary_Event_ID": "", "Confidence": "MEDIUM", "Analyst": "Codex Phase 2 analyst; non-independent self-audit", "SV5_Audit_Status": "PASS_NON_INDEPENDENT", "Claim_Stop": "Supports a relay contribution only, not authorship of the vote or control over Sharonda.", "Season_ID": "US-S51", "Record_Status": "AUDITED", "Revision_No": "1", "Supersedes_Record_ID": "", "Created_At": "46297.218788645834", "Created_By": "Codex", "Last_Verified_At": "46297.218788645834", "Notes": "Primary scan A06. Caption-grounded; visual and nonverbal inference prohibited.", "Epistemic_Eligibility_Status": "SUPPORTS_BOUNDED_CLAIM", "Conclusion_ID": "CONC-S51E02-006", "Calculation_Status": "NOT_APPLICABLE_SCORING_DISABLED" } }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A07-INF", "short_id": "R06", "base": "Informational", "actors": [ "Sharonda" ], "players": [ "Sharonda" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Sharonda presents Ana as the majority option and asks Ori to move.", "response": "Ori says he will switch from Eric to Ana.", "limit": "Establishes Ori's stated shift, not Sharonda's control of the full vote or the exact final ballot allocation.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-016" ], "event_id": "EVT-S51E02-016", "later_account": false, "source_row": 46, "original": { "_source_row": 46, "Power_Effect_ID": "PE-S51E02-A07-INF", "Event_ID": "EVT-S51E02-016", "Cycle_ID": "US-S51E02-C02", "Actor_ID": "PLY-S51-SHARONDA", "Target_ID": "PLY-S51-ORI", "Power_Component": "INFORMATIONAL", "Power_Subtype": "MAJORITY_FRAME_AND_TARGET_ADVOCACY", "Component_Basis_or_Resource": "Sharonda presents Ana as the majority option and asks Ori to move.", "Observation_Opportunity_Status": "OBSERVED_IN_BOUNDED_EPISODE_RECORD", "Actor_Action_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-016", "Target_Receipt_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-016", "Target_Response_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-016", "Component_Stage_Status": "CONVERTED_POWER", "Primary_or_Cross_Effect": "PRIMARY", "Effect_Disposition": "WORKED", "Effect_Direction": "POSITIVE", "Effect_Scope": "DYADIC", "Evidence_Stage": "ACTION_RECEIPT_RESPONSE_AS_AVAILABLE", "Target_Response_Status": "Ori says he will switch from Eric to Ana.", "Response_Attribution_Status": "DIRECTLY_ATTRIBUTED_CONTRIBUTION", "Mechanism": "Sharonda presents Ana as the majority option and asks Ori to move.", "Consequence": "Ori's stated target position changes in the recorded exchange.", "Threshold_Relevance": "QUALITATIVE_EFFECT_SCORING_DISABLED", "Global_Score_Change_Confirmed_Flag": "0", "Alternative_Explanation": "Ori's private preferences and unshown conversations remain unknown; the final voter map is unresolved.", "Contrary_Event_ID": "", "Confidence": "HIGH", "Analyst": "Codex Phase 2 analyst; non-independent self-audit", "SV5_Audit_Status": "PASS_NON_INDEPENDENT", "Claim_Stop": "Establishes Ori's stated shift, not Sharonda's control of the full vote or the exact final ballot allocation.", "Season_ID": "US-S51", "Record_Status": "AUDITED", "Revision_No": "1", "Supersedes_Record_ID": "", "Created_At": "46297.218788645834", "Created_By": "Codex", "Last_Verified_At": "46297.218788645834", "Notes": "Primary scan A07. Caption-grounded; visual and nonverbal inference prohibited.", "Epistemic_Eligibility_Status": "CAUSALLY_SUPPORTED_BOUNDED", "Conclusion_ID": "CONC-S51E02-007", "Calculation_Status": "NOT_APPLICABLE_SCORING_DISABLED" } } ], "later_records": [ { "id": "PE-S51E02-A11-REF", "short_id": "L01", "base": "Referent", "actors": [ "Ana" ], "players": [ "Ana" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Ana's trusted personal bond and reciprocal openness with Carter.", "response": "Carter identifies Ana as his trusted go-to, commits to playing with her at all costs, and joins a No. 1/endgame plan.", "limit": "Bounded to Carter's stated trust and alliance commitment; no durability, protection, or vote-control claim.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-027", "EVD-S51E02-028", "EVD-S51E02-029" ], "event_id": "EVT-S51E02-023", "later_account": true, "source_row": 69, "original": { "_source_row": 69, "Power_Effect_ID": "PE-S51E02-A11-REF", "Event_ID": "EVT-S51E02-023", "Cycle_ID": "US-S51E02-C02", "Actor_ID": "PLY-S51-ANA", "Target_ID": "PLY-S51-CARTER", "Power_Component": "REFERENT", "Power_Subtype": "TRUST_LINKED_ALLIANCE_COMMITMENT", "Component_Basis_or_Resource": "Ana's trusted personal bond and reciprocal openness with Carter.", "Observation_Opportunity_Status": "LATER_UNAIRED_PRODUCTION_SCENE_TEXTUAL_REPRODUCTION", "Actor_Action_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-027; EVD-S51E02-028; EVD-S51E02-029", "Target_Receipt_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-027; EVD-S51E02-028; EVD-S51E02-029", "Target_Response_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-027; EVD-S51E02-028; EVD-S51E02-029", "Component_Stage_Status": "CONVERTED_POWER", "Primary_or_Cross_Effect": "PRIMARY", "Effect_Disposition": "WORKED", "Effect_Direction": "POSITIVE", "Effect_Scope": "DYADIC", "Evidence_Stage": "COMPLETE_CHAIN", "Target_Response_Status": "Carter identifies Ana as his trusted go-to, commits to playing with her at all costs, and joins a No. 1/endgame plan.", "Response_Attribution_Status": "DIRECT_RECIPIENT_SELF_ATTRIBUTION_BOUNDED", "Mechanism": "Ana's trusted personal bond and reciprocal openness with Carter.", "Consequence": "Carter's alliance choice and willingness to rely on Ana are relationship-linked.", "Threshold_Relevance": "QUALITATIVE_EFFECT_SCORING_DISABLED", "Global_Score_Change_Confirmed_Flag": "0", "Alternative_Explanation": "The bond is reciprocal and may have developed jointly; Ana is not established as its sole creator.", "Contrary_Event_ID": "", "Confidence": "MEDIUM_HIGH", "Analyst": "Codex retrospective analyst; non-independent self-audit", "SV5_Audit_Status": "PASS_NON_INDEPENDENT", "Claim_Stop": "Bounded to Carter's stated trust and alliance commitment; no durability, protection, or vote-control claim.", "Season_ID": "US-S51", "Record_Status": "DRAFT", "Revision_No": "1", "Supersedes_Record_ID": "", "Created_At": "46299.13109324074", "Created_By": "Codex", "Last_Verified_At": "46299.13109324074", "Notes": "Later article text reproduces an unaired in-game scene; underlying clip was not directly played and visual inference is prohibited.", "Epistemic_Eligibility_Status": "RETROSPECTIVE_EXPANSION_SUPPORTED_BOUNDED", "Conclusion_ID": "CONC-S51E02-011", "Calculation_Status": "NOT_APPLICABLE_SCORING_DISABLED" }, "wave": "EW-S51E02-EARLY-RETRO-v02" }, { "id": "PE-S51E02-A12-REF", "short_id": "L02", "base": "Referent", "actors": [ "Carter" ], "players": [ "Carter" ], "shared": false, "effectiveness": "WORKED", "action": "Carter's trusted personal bond and reciprocal commitment with Ana.", "response": "Ana says she tells Carter everything, needs him, and joins a reciprocal No. 1/endgame plan.", "limit": "Bounded to Ana's stated disclosure and alliance commitment; no durability, protection, or vote-control claim.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-027", "EVD-S51E02-028", "EVD-S51E02-029" ], "event_id": "EVT-S51E02-023", "later_account": true, "source_row": 75, "original": { "_source_row": 75, "Power_Effect_ID": "PE-S51E02-A12-REF", "Event_ID": "EVT-S51E02-023", "Cycle_ID": "US-S51E02-C02", "Actor_ID": "PLY-S51-CARTER", "Target_ID": "PLY-S51-ANA", "Power_Component": "REFERENT", "Power_Subtype": "TRUST_LINKED_DISCLOSURE_AND_ENDGAME_COMMITMENT", "Component_Basis_or_Resource": "Carter's trusted personal bond and reciprocal commitment with Ana.", "Observation_Opportunity_Status": "LATER_UNAIRED_PRODUCTION_SCENE_TEXTUAL_REPRODUCTION", "Actor_Action_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-027; EVD-S51E02-028; EVD-S51E02-029", "Target_Receipt_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-027; EVD-S51E02-028; EVD-S51E02-029", "Target_Response_Evidence_ID": "EVD-S51E02-027; EVD-S51E02-028; EVD-S51E02-029", "Component_Stage_Status": "CONVERTED_POWER", "Primary_or_Cross_Effect": "PRIMARY", "Effect_Disposition": "WORKED", "Effect_Direction": "POSITIVE", "Effect_Scope": "DYADIC", "Evidence_Stage": "COMPLETE_CHAIN", "Target_Response_Status": "Ana says she tells Carter everything, needs him, and joins a reciprocal No. 1/endgame plan.", "Response_Attribution_Status": "DIRECT_RECIPIENT_SELF_ATTRIBUTION_BOUNDED", "Mechanism": "Carter's trusted personal bond and reciprocal commitment with Ana.", "Consequence": "Ana's disclosure and alliance choice are relationship-linked.", "Threshold_Relevance": "QUALITATIVE_EFFECT_SCORING_DISABLED", "Global_Score_Change_Confirmed_Flag": "0", "Alternative_Explanation": "The bond is reciprocal and may have developed jointly; Carter is not established as its sole creator.", "Contrary_Event_ID": "", "Confidence": "MEDIUM_HIGH", "Analyst": "Codex retrospective analyst; non-independent self-audit", "SV5_Audit_Status": "PASS_NON_INDEPENDENT", "Claim_Stop": "Bounded to Ana's stated disclosure and alliance commitment; no durability, protection, or vote-control claim.", "Season_ID": "US-S51", "Record_Status": "DRAFT", "Revision_No": "1", "Supersedes_Record_ID": "", "Created_At": "46299.13109324074", "Created_By": "Codex", "Last_Verified_At": "46299.13109324074", "Notes": "Later article text reproduces an unaired in-game scene; underlying clip was not directly played and visual inference is prohibited.", "Epistemic_Eligibility_Status": "RETROSPECTIVE_EXPANSION_SUPPORTED_BOUNDED", "Conclusion_ID": "CONC-S51E02-012", "Calculation_Status": "NOT_APPLICABLE_SCORING_DISABLED" }, "wave": "EW-S51E02-EARLY-RETRO-v02" } ], "player_statistics": [ { "player": "Aaliyah", "full_name": "Aaliyah Puglia", "portrait": "portraits/aaliyah.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": false, "episode_status": "Voted out · E1", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-016-LEG", "PE-S51E01-018-REF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ALREADY_OUT", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Alexis", "full_name": "Alexis Levine", "portrait": "portraits/alexis.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A02-INF" ] } ], "actor_record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A02-INF" ], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-003", "EVT-S51E02-016", "EVT-S51E02-022" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Ana", "full_name": "Ana Sani", "portrait": "portraits/ana.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": false, "episode_status": "Voted out · E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 0, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A01-INF", "PE-S51E02-A05-INF" ] } ], "actor_record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A01-INF", "PE-S51E02-A05-INF" ], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-002", "EVT-S51E02-015", "EVT-S51E02-016", "EVT-S51E02-021", "EVT-S51E02-022" ] }, "later_record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A11-REF" ] }, { "player": "Brady", "full_name": "Brady Booker", "portrait": "portraits/brady.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 0, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-012-INF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-001", "EVT-S51E02-004", "EVT-S51E02-005", "EVT-S51E02-012" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Carter", "full_name": "Carter Krull", "portrait": "portraits/carter.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-002", "EVT-S51E02-022" ] }, "later_record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A12-REF" ] }, { "player": "Cristian", "full_name": "Cristian Chavez", "portrait": "portraits/cristian.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Devin", "full_name": "Devin Way", "portrait": "portraits/devin.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 1, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-005-INF", "PE-S51E01-013-INF", "PE-S51E01-019-REF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-001", "EVT-S51E02-012" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Eric", "full_name": "Eric Macksoud", "portrait": "portraits/eric.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-009", "EVT-S51E02-013", "EVT-S51E02-015", "EVT-S51E02-017", "EVT-S51E02-018", "EVT-S51E02-019", "EVT-S51E02-020", "EVT-S51E02-022" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Jelly", "full_name": "Angelica “Jelly” Loblack", "portrait": "portraits/jelly.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 1, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-019-REF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A04-INF" ] } ], "actor_record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A04-INF" ], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-010", "EVT-S51E02-011", "EVT-S51E02-012" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Jenna", "full_name": "Jenna Doore", "portrait": "portraits/jenna.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-011-INF", "PE-S51E01-015-LEG" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Kilby", "full_name": "Danny “Kilby” Kilby", "portrait": "portraits/kilby.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 1, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-003-LEG" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Kristin", "full_name": "Kristin Flickinger", "portrait": "portraits/kristin.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 1, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-003-LEG" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-008" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Lewis", "full_name": "Lewis Kelly", "portrait": "portraits/lewis.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-006" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Linnea", "full_name": "Linnea Capobianco", "portrait": "portraits/linnea.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A06-INF" ] } ], "actor_record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A06-INF" ], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-002", "EVT-S51E02-003", "EVT-S51E02-009", "EVT-S51E02-016" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Maggie", "full_name": "Maggie Nestor", "portrait": "portraits/maggie.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Mike", "full_name": "Mike Pinsky", "portrait": "portraits/mike.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-012" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Ori", "full_name": "Ori Jean-Charles", "portrait": "portraits/ori.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-016" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Patt", "full_name": "Patt Cannaday", "portrait": "portraits/patt.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 2, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-010-INF", "PE-S51E01-014-INF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-011", "EVT-S51E02-012" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Rob", "full_name": "Rob Antonson", "portrait": "portraits/rob.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E01-006-INF" ] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-009", "EVT-S51E02-017", "EVT-S51E02-018", "EVT-S51E02-019", "EVT-S51E02-020", "EVT-S51E02-022" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Sharonda", "full_name": "Sharonda Cox", "portrait": "portraits/sharonda.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Savu", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "ASSESSED", "worked": 1, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A07-INF" ] } ], "actor_record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A07-INF" ], "coverage": { "event_ids": [ "EVT-S51E02-002", "EVT-S51E02-003", "EVT-S51E02-016" ] }, "later_record_ids": [] }, { "player": "Thien An", "full_name": "An “Thien An” Nguyen", "portrait": "portraits/thien-an.jpg", "ending_tribe": "Toka", "active_at_episode_end": true, "episode_status": "Active after E2", "history": [ { "episode": 1, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] }, { "episode": 2, "status": "NO_INDIVIDUAL_FINDING", "worked": null, "shared_worked": 0, "record_ids": [] } ], "actor_record_ids": [], "coverage": { "event_ids": [] }, "later_record_ids": [] } ], "topics": [ { "id": "ana", "question": "Did Ana talk herself out of the game?", "deck": "Her own name was supposed to be the cover story.", "players": [ "Ana", "Alexis" ], "public": [ { "author": "stonedboss", "text": "The weekly discussion blames Ana’s many mistakes for turning an easy Eric vote against her.", "url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1wwa7hh/survivor_51_episodes_2_player_of_the_week_results/", "label": "Discussion paraphrase", "genre": "discussion", "kind": "PARAPHRASE", "publication_date": null, "collection_date": "2026-10-12", "date_limit": "Relative comment times shown; exact comment date not independently established.", "short_verbatim_excerpt": "Ana managed to swing an easy vote on Eric to herself", "access": "Visible source body/comment text inspected October 12.", "authorship_basis": "Public account handle; no independent proof of production method." } ], "evidence": [ "Ana said she floated names to create a rift.", "Alexis spread the warning that Ana was naming people.", "Ana offered her own name as Eric’s decoy; the group accepted it.", "Linnea and Sharonda helped move the target, and Ana went home." ], "verdict": "Part of the story", "answer": "She gave people reasons to turn on her. They still had to choose.", "lesson": "Ana’s talk mattered twice: first as information used against her, then as a ready-made decoy name. But her exit also took Alexis’s warning, Linnea’s relay and Sharonda’s pitch. Blaming everything on Ana leaves those choices out.", "limit": "The research does not identify one person who controlled the vote. The later Ana–Carter scene shows a bond, not protection from the wider tribe.", "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A01-INF", "PE-S51E02-A05-INF", "PE-S51E02-A02-INF" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-002", "EVD-S51E02-003", "EVD-S51E02-015", "EVD-S51E02-016" ], "origin": "RPM adaptation of the attributed source text, checked against accepted game evidence." }, { "id": "alexis", "question": "Did Alexis get enough credit?", "deck": "The final conversation was not the beginning of the switch.", "players": [ "Alexis", "Linnea", "Sharonda", "Ori" ], "public": [ { "author": "Lucasion", "text": "This commenter argues that Alexis’s push against Ana deserves more credit than the discussion gives it.", "url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1wwa7hh/survivor_51_episodes_2_player_of_the_week_results/", "label": "Discussion paraphrase", "genre": "discussion", "kind": "PARAPHRASE", "publication_date": null, "collection_date": "2026-10-12", "date_limit": "Relative comment times shown; exact comment date not independently established.", "short_verbatim_excerpt": "Alexis is the one who wanted Ana out instead of Eric", "access": "Visible source body/comment text inspected October 12.", "authorship_basis": "Public account handle; no independent proof of production method." } ], "evidence": [ "Alexis’s warning reached Linnea and Sharonda.", "Linnea relayed the concern to Sharonda.", "Sharonda presented Ana as the majority option.", "Ori said he would move from Eric to Ana." ], "verdict": "Several contributions", "answer": "Alexis started a warning chain. Sharonda got a stated switch.", "lesson": "Those are different jobs in the same turn. The evidence gives Alexis a real contribution without taking away Linnea’s relay or Sharonda’s conversation with Ori. We do not need to choose a single mastermind to explain how the target changed.", "limit": "Ori’s statement is not a verified ballot. The exact tally and individual voter map remain unresolved.", "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A02-INF", "PE-S51E02-A06-INF", "PE-S51E02-A07-INF" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-003", "EVD-S51E02-016" ], "origin": "RPM adaptation of the attributed source text, checked against accepted game evidence." }, { "id": "jelly", "question": "What did Jelly gain by telling Patt?", "deck": "An idol in a pocket is one thing. Someone responding to the secret is another.", "players": [ "Jelly", "Patt" ], "public": [ { "author": "stonedboss", "text": "The weekly discussion praises Jelly’s idol find and the stronger connection with Patt.", "url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1wwa7hh/survivor_51_episodes_2_player_of_the_week_results/", "label": "Discussion paraphrase", "genre": "discussion", "kind": "PARAPHRASE", "publication_date": null, "collection_date": "2026-10-12", "date_limit": "Relative comment times shown; exact comment date not independently established.", "short_verbatim_excerpt": "Jelly found an idol while also strengthening her alliances", "access": "Visible source body/comment text inspected October 12.", "authorship_basis": "Public account handle; no independent proof of production method." } ], "evidence": [ "Jelly found an active idol and told Patt about it.", "Patt said the disclosure cemented their relationship.", "He immediately proposed planning together.", "Jelly did not play the idol in this episode." ], "verdict": "A response is clear", "answer": "She got trust and a planning partner.", "lesson": "The worked use comes from what Jelly told Patt and how he answered. Finding the idol gave her an option for later; it did not count as using it. Nor do we count Patt’s response a second time as his own use.", "limit": "This is an immediate change in stated trust and planning. A lasting alliance or control over Toka is not established.", "record_ids": [ "PE-S51E02-A04-INF" ], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-010", "EVD-S51E02-011", "EVD-S51E02-012" ], "origin": "RPM adaptation of the attributed source text, checked against accepted game evidence." }, { "id": "rob", "question": "Why would Eric trust a secret plan?", "deck": "Rob asked for agreement before he explained what Eric would be agreeing to.", "players": [ "Rob", "Eric" ], "public": [ { "author": "Jason", "text": "This reader was confused by Rob’s plan and wondered whether he really intended to leave.", "url": "https://www.realityblurred.com/realitytv/2026/09/survivor-51-episode-2-weaponized-honesty-recap/", "label": "Reader-comment paraphrase", "genre": "reader comment", "kind": "PARAPHRASE", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "collection_date": "2026-10-12", "date_limit": null, "short_verbatim_excerpt": "I was REALLY confused as to what Rob’s plan was.", "access": "Visible source body/comment text inspected October 12.", "authorship_basis": "Public account handle; no independent proof of production method." } ], "evidence": [ "Rob asked Eric to trust his instructions without the details.", "Eric said he wanted facts and would not follow blindly.", "Later reports and Probst’s Field Notes support the attempted self-vote and production intervention.", "Neither Rob’s idol nor Eric’s Shot in the Dark was played." ], "verdict": "The request was resisted", "answer": "Eric wanted details before he would agree.", "lesson": "Trust has to show up in what someone does. Here, Eric’s recorded response stops the claim that Rob’s relationship persuaded him to follow the plan. The attempted self-vote explains the confusion around Tribal; it does not rescue that failed trust request.", "limit": "The private Tribal words were not captioned. Eric’s reason for not playing Shot in the Dark is unknown. Rob’s rejected request stays outside the six qualifying uses; it adds nothing to his worked count.", "record_ids": [], "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-017", "EVD-S51E02-018", "EVD-S51E02-019", "EVD-S51E02-020", "EVD-S51E02-030" ], "origin": "RPM adaptation of the attributed source text, checked against accepted game evidence." } ], "public_copy": { "headline": "How did Ana become the target?", "opening": "Eric looked like the easy vote. Ana offered herself as the decoy. Then Alexis’s warning traveled through Linnea to Sharonda, and Sharonda asked Ori to switch. Ana went home while Eric stayed. How much of that turn came from Ana—and how much came from everyone else?", "players": { "Ana": { "headline": "The decoy became a real option.", "summary": "Ana wanted to split the tribe by floating names. Then she offered her own as the decoy for Eric. The first move gave Alexis something to warn people about; the second put Ana’s name into the plan. She was the one who left.", "context": "Those moves helped put Ana in danger, but Alexis, Linnea and Sharonda made their own choices. The later Carter scene shows a trusted ally, not protection from the rest of Savu." }, "Alexis": { "headline": "She made sure the warning traveled.", "summary": "Alexis told people Ana was naming them. Linnea and Sharonda began discussing Ana as a problem, and the warning became part of the move away from Eric. Her role starts before the final pitch at camp.", "context": "The warning helped the new target take shape. It does not give Alexis sole credit for Ana’s exit." }, "Linnea": { "headline": "She took the warning to Sharonda.", "summary": "Linnea passed on the concern that Ana was naming people. Sharonda picked it up and brought Ana into the next conversation about the vote. The warning did not stop with Linnea.", "context": "This counts the relay and Sharonda’s response. It does not say Linnea decided how everyone would vote." }, "Sharonda": { "headline": "Ori said he would switch.", "summary": "Sharonda presented Ana as the majority option and asked Ori to move off Eric. Ori said he would. That answer is what gives this conversation a worked result; the final ballot map is still missing.", "context": "A stated change of target is clear. We cannot turn it into a verified ballot from Ori or control of the whole tribe." }, "Jelly": { "headline": "She found an idol. Telling Patt did the work.", "summary": "Jelly told Patt about the idol she had found. Patt said it cemented their relationship and immediately proposed planning together. The idol stayed unplayed, but sharing the secret got a response.", "context": "The worked use is Informational. A closer bond after a disclosure does not automatically add a second Referent use." }, "Patt": { "headline": "Jelly’s secret brought him closer.", "summary": "Patt said learning about Jelly’s idol cemented their relationship, then proposed that they plan together. It is an important response in Jelly’s story. It does not become a second use credited to Patt.", "context": "Patt’s two worked Episode 1 disclosures remain in his history. There is no new qualifying use of his own in the original Episode 2 analysis." }, "Rob": { "headline": "Eric wanted facts. Rob wanted trust.", "summary": "Rob asked Eric to follow a plan he had not explained. Eric refused to accept it blindly. Later reports describe Rob’s attempted self-vote and the producer who stopped it; Rob’s idol was never played.", "context": "The trust request was checked and resisted. It did not qualify as Referent Power, so it is outside the six uses counted here. Later Field Notes support the rule intervention, not a successful rescue." }, "Eric": { "headline": "He asked for the plan—and stayed.", "summary": "Eric wanted facts before agreeing to Rob’s instructions. He did not play Shot in the Dark, and Ana went home instead. Surviving tells us the result; it does not establish why he kept his vote or credit him with changing the target.", "context": "His refusal stops Rob’s Referent claim. Eric’s private reason for not using Shot in the Dark remains unknown." }, "Ori": { "headline": "A stated switch is not a ballot.", "summary": "Ori said he would move from Eric to Ana after Sharonda’s pitch. That response supports her finding. The research does not assign his final vote, even though discussion of the episode often does.", "context": "The original analysis records what Ori said. It does not establish a separate Power use by him or settle the disagreement about his vote." }, "Carter": { "headline": "Ana was his go-to. She still left.", "summary": "The later unaired-scene report shows Carter choosing Ana as his trusted partner and making an endgame commitment with her. It fills in their bond, but it does not show Carter keeping Ana safe at Tribal.", "context": "This relationship finding belongs to the October 3 update below. Carter has no qualifying use in the original Episode 2 snapshot; the update is not folded into that count." }, "Devin": { "headline": "The first vote did not end his bond with Brady.", "summary": "Devin described himself and Brady as still aligned after voting differently in Episode 1. Jelly and Patt also discussed including him in a group. Neither scene establishes a new decision changed by Devin in this episode.", "context": "Their continued goodwill is relationship context. Jelly and Patt’s group proposal is not confirmation that Devin accepted it." }, "Brady": { "headline": "He stayed in the game after the injury.", "summary": "Brady cut part of his thumb while chopping wood, received medical treatment and later competed. Devin described their alliance as intact. Those events matter to his episode without creating a new Power use.", "context": "Medical clearance is a participation result. It does not count as Brady persuading another player, and this page adds no prognosis." }, "Kristin": { "headline": "The injury belongs in her story, not her count.", "summary": "Kristin hurt her foot in the reward challenge and later reported pain and swelling. She said she would remain. Her Episode 1 shared procedure finding stays in the history; the injury adds no worked use.", "context": "The record supports her account and continued participation. It does not turn treating her own injury into Expert Power over another player." }, "Lewis": { "headline": "He finally got a Toka buff.", "summary": "Lewis joined Toka after his opening stay on Exile and competed with the tribe. He belongs in the Toka tab at the end of Episode 2. The new membership is clear; an individual Power effect is not.", "context": "Joining a tribe is a formal membership change, not proof that Lewis gained influence over its players." }, "Mike": { "headline": "Named in a plan he was not shown accepting.", "summary": "Jelly and Patt discussed a five-person group that would include Mike, Brady and Devin. The scene shows the two of them endorsing it. It does not show Mike signing on or changing someone else’s choice.", "context": "A proposed place in an alliance does not establish either membership or a qualifying use by Mike." }, "Jenna": { "headline": "The premiere gave her a finding. This episode does not.", "summary": "Jenna’s warning to Brady remains a worked use in her Episode 1 history. Toka won immunity in Episode 2, so she did not face this vote. The research adds no new individual finding for her.", "context": "The gap at Episode 2 means no qualifying use was established. It does not erase what she did in the premiere." }, "Kilby": { "headline": "His first checkpoint stays in place.", "summary": "Kilby’s shared procedure with Kristin remains in his Episode 1 history. There is no new qualifying use for him in Episode 2. Toka’s immunity protected the tribe without becoming an individual use on his card.", "context": "The shared finding appears on both Episode 1 cards and counts once in that episode. It is not counted again here." }, "Maggie": { "headline": "Toka was safe. An individual effect is still missing.", "summary": "Maggie finished Episode 2 with Toka after the tribe won immunity. The accepted analysis does not establish a qualifying action and response for her. Her blank graph is a gap in the findings, not a verdict on her game.", "context": "Challenge success is recorded for the tribe. It does not become a separate player Power use without the required evidence." }, "Thien An": { "headline": "Two episodes, no individual finding yet.", "summary": "Thien An remained on Toka and was safe from Episode 2’s Tribal Council. The research has not established a qualifying use by him in either episode. There is no value to plot yet.", "context": "A blank is not zero influence. This page stops at Episode 2 and does not borrow evidence from what happens later." }, "Cristian": { "headline": "He stayed on Savu. The count tells us little else.", "summary": "Cristian remained in the game after Ana’s exit. The accepted Episode 2 analysis adds no individual Power use for him and does not assign his ballot. Survival alone cannot fill either gap.", "context": "His card preserves the missing individual evidence instead of treating it as a low count or reconstructing a vote." }, "Aaliyah": { "headline": "Her season stopped at the first vote.", "summary": "Aaliyah was already out when Episode 2 began. Her worked relationship finding from the premiere stays visible at E1. The next checkpoint is marked “Already out,” so her exit never looks like a new zero.", "context": "She remains in Toka’s historical roster. Episode 2 supplies no new opportunity or finding for her." } }, "records": { "PE-S51E02-A01-INF": { "action": "Ana floated names to split the group.", "response": "The names circulated back as a warning about Ana herself.", "limit": "That helped turn attention toward her. It was one part of her exit, alongside the warning chain and her decoy offer." }, "PE-S51E02-A02-INF": { "action": "Alexis warned people that Ana was naming them.", "response": "Linnea and Sharonda began discussing Ana as a concern.", "limit": "Alexis helped the target change. The later choices were not hers alone." }, "PE-S51E02-A04-INF": { "action": "Jelly told Patt she had found an idol.", "response": "Patt said it cemented their relationship and immediately proposed planning together.", "limit": "The disclosure changed his stated trust and planning. It does not prove the alliance would last or count as playing the idol." }, "PE-S51E02-A05-INF": { "action": "Ana offered herself as the decoy for Eric.", "response": "The group accepted her name as the decoy to give Eric. Her name was now part of the vote conversation.", "limit": "The decoy worked in the moment and exposed her to danger. It did not, by itself, cause every choice that sent her home." }, "PE-S51E02-A06-INF": { "action": "Linnea passed the warning about Ana to Sharonda.", "response": "Sharonda took up the concern and carried Ana’s name into the next target discussion.", "limit": "This counts what the relay changed. It does not give Linnea control over Sharonda or the vote." }, "PE-S51E02-A07-INF": { "action": "Sharonda pitched Ana as the majority option to Ori.", "response": "Ori said he would switch from Eric to Ana.", "limit": "His stated switch is supported. His actual ballot and the full voter map remain unresolved." } } }, "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-001", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Devin says he and Brady were on opposite sides of the first vote but remained good because they had been honest about their positions.", "limit": "Self-report of the relationship at that moment; no season-long durability claim.", "context": "IN_GAME_CONFESSIONAL_AND_CAMP_CONVERSATION", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-002", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Ana explains she wanted multiple names in circulation to create a rift and says she told Carter everything.", "limit": "Ana's stated intent does not establish every later recipient effect or exclusive causation.", "context": "IN_GAME_CONFESSIONAL", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-003", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Alexis says she no longer trusts Ana and decides to spread that Ana is naming people; Linnea relays the information to Sharonda.", "limit": "Presented chain only; no claim that Alexis solely caused the eventual vote.", "context": "IN_GAME_CONFESSIONAL_AND_CAMP_CONVERSATION", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-004", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Brady injures his thumb while chopping wood and says a quarter is missing.", "limit": "No medical diagnosis beyond the recorded episode statements.", "context": "IN_GAME_EVENT", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-005", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Medical staff say they will provide antibiotics and get Brady ready for the challenge; Brady reports he is allowed to remain.", "limit": "Formal participation result only; no prognosis beyond the episode record.", "context": "MEDICAL_ASSESSMENT_IN_EPISODE", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-006", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Jeff announces that Lewis joins Toka.", "limit": "Formal membership state only.", "context": "FORMAL_CHALLENGE_ARENA", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-007", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Jelly hooks the final bag and Toka wins reward.", "limit": "Challenge result only; no Power inference.", "context": "FORMAL_REWARD_CHALLENGE", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-008", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Kristin injures her foot during the reward challenge and later describes swelling and pain while stating she intends to remain.", "limit": "Self-report and continued participation only; no medical diagnosis.", "context": "IN_GAME_EVENT_AND_CONFESSIONAL", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-009", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Rob questions the challenge pairing and repeats criticism after Linnea responds.", "limit": "Occurrence and responses only; emotion and motive beyond words are not inferred.", "context": "IN_GAME_CAMP_CONVERSATION", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-010", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Jelly leaves camp to search, finds a normal hidden immunity idol, and reads that votes against the holder will not count when played.", "limit": "Access and rule state only; no influence or effectiveness inference.", "context": "IN_GAME_SEARCH_AND_RULE_READ", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-011", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "The episode establishes that Jelly tells Patt about the idol; Patt says the disclosure was what she needed to cement the relationship.", "limit": "Recipient self-report supports the immediate relationship effect only.", "context": "IN_GAME_CONFESSIONAL_AND_CAMP_CONVERSATION", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-012", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Jelly and Patt discuss a possible five-person group with Brady, Devin, and Mike.", "limit": "Proposal and expressed enthusiasm only; durability and complete member acceptance are not established.", "context": "IN_GAME_CAMP_CONVERSATION_AND_CONFESSIONAL", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-013", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Multiple Savu comments describe Eric as irritating; a confessional says an immediate vote would be 9-1 Eric.", "limit": "In-game estimate before the immunity loss, not a formal ballot count.", "context": "IN_GAME_CAMP_AND_CONFESSIONAL", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-014", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Maggie lands the final ball and Toka wins immunity.", "limit": "Formal result only; no Power inference.", "context": "FORMAL_IMMUNITY_CHALLENGE", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-015", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Rob says Eric has been the target for two days. Ana first offers Kristin as the name for Eric, then offers herself as the decoy and immediately regrets it.", "limit": "Describes presented plan development only; later outcome has multiple contributors.", "context": "IN_GAME_CONFESSIONAL_AND_CAMP_CONVERSATION", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-016", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Information that Ana named Alexis, Linnea, and Sharonda circulates; Sharonda tells Ori that voting Ana would create a majority and Ori says he will shift from Eric.", "limit": "Group contribution is distributed; exact final voter identities are not established in Phase 1.", "context": "IN_GAME_CAMP_CONVERSATION_AND_CONFESSIONAL", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-017", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Rob says he is considering sacrificing himself, tells Eric to follow instructions at Tribal, and says an idol is in his pocket.", "limit": "Rob's stated intent is not proof that Eric accepts or that the plan changes the vote.", "context": "IN_GAME_CONFESSIONAL_AND_CAMP_CONVERSATION", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-018", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Eric says he will not blindly follow an undisclosed plan and wants enough facts to make an educated decision.", "limit": "Recorded response only; private reasoning beyond the words is not inferred.", "context": "IN_GAME_CONFESSIONAL", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-019", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Rob asks to speak privately with Eric at Tribal. The private words are not captioned; the group then proceeds to vote.", "limit": "The private exchange content is unavailable in captions and is not reconstructed here from visuals.", "context": "FORMAL_TRIBAL_COUNCIL", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-020", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-TVLINE-RECAP", "paraphrase": "Two sources report that Rob intended Eric to use his Shot in the Dark, would protect Eric with his idol if needed, and tried to vote for himself; production required a valid revote and Rob wrote Eric.", "limit": "Do not treat the private Tribal words or self-vote attempt as directly caption-observed; do not infer Eric's private motive.", "context": "TRIBAL_ACTION_RECONSTRUCTION", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-021", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "No idol or advantage is played. The read shows Ana, four Eric votes, then five more Ana votes, and Ana is eliminated on the final read.", "limit": "The exact 6-4 split remains a claim-level Source Conflict because the official Paramount+ recap states 5-4. Individual voter identities are not recorded.", "context": "FORMAL_TRIBAL_COUNCIL", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-022", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Closing credit states captioning sponsored by CBS and identifies Media Access Group at WGBH.", "limit": "Credit plus alignment supports lineage but does not make SubtitleCat an independent or official publisher.", "context": "CAPTION_CREDIT", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-023", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SRT-SAVED", "paraphrase": "Ana says she played too hard too quickly, made many early promises, and is disappointed to leave.", "limit": "Exit self-assessment only; no proof of other players' motives.", "context": "POST_ELIMINATION_EXIT_WORDS", "wave": "EW-S51E02-TIMELY-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-024", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-TVLINE-ANA", "paraphrase": "Ana says Alexis was the person throwing names and then reframed the situation against her.", "limit": "Ana's perspective establishes that she made the statement; it does not independently prove Alexis's motive or sole causation.", "context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW", "wave": "EW-S51E02-POSTGAME-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-025", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-TVINSIDER-ANA", "paraphrase": "Ana describes Carter as her closest ally and recounts the reported Rob plan involving Eric's Shot in the Dark, Rob's idol, and an attempted self-vote.", "limit": "Same Ana perspective origin; does not independently prove Rob's internal motive or private instructions.", "context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW", "wave": "EW-S51E02-POSTGAME-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-026", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-SHARON-ANA", "paraphrase": "A third Ana interview publication is registered and agrees that the vote was 6-4.", "limit": "Zero additional independent-perspective weight; used only for consistency.", "context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW", "wave": "EW-S51E02-POSTGAME-v01" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-027", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-USMAG-ANA-CARTER", "paraphrase": "Ana describes an organic big-sister/little-brother bond, says she tells Carter everything, asks him to stay safe because she needs him, and joins a reciprocal No. 1 and endgame commitment.", "limit": "Supports Ana-to-Carter Referent Power only as a bounded dyadic commitment; durability, protection, vote control, and exact chronology are not established.", "context": "IN_GAME_INTERVIEW_AND_PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "wave": "EW-S51E02-EARLY-RETRO-v02" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-028", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-USMAG-ANA-CARTER", "paraphrase": "Carter says the relationship is organic, that he and Ana are on the same page, that she is his go-to and trusted partner, and that he wants to play with her at all costs; the pair discuss a reciprocal No. 1 and endgame plan.", "limit": "Supports Carter-to-Ana Referent Power only as a bounded dyadic commitment; durability, protection, vote control, and exact chronology are not established.", "context": "IN_GAME_INTERVIEW_AND_PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "wave": "EW-S51E02-EARLY-RETRO-v02" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-029", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-USMAG-ANA-CARTER", "paraphrase": "The pair directly identify each other as No. 1 and discuss going to the end together; Ana's safety request and both confessionals tie that commitment to trust and personal bond.", "limit": "One shared scene can support two directional effects because each affected player states their own relationship-linked decision; it is not a numeric double score.", "context": "PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH", "wave": "EW-S51E02-EARLY-RETRO-v02" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-030", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-TVINSIDER-PROBST", "paraphrase": "Jeff Probst's Field Notes say production stopped Rob from voting for himself and that Probst could not track the strategic logic.", "limit": "Retrospective support for occurrence and rule intervention only; no new Rob-to-Eric Power effect.", "context": "FORMAL_HOST_OR_RULE_STATEMENT", "wave": "EW-S51E02-EARLY-RETRO-v02" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-031", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-TDT-VOTE", "paraphrase": "True Dork Times supplies a 6-4 secondary result reconstruction and individual voter map.", "limit": "Cannot override the official Paramount+ recap's 5-4 statement or authorize an exact voter map.", "context": "EDITORIAL_RECONSTRUCTION", "wave": "EW-S51E02-EARLY-RETRO-v02" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-032", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-POPHEIST-VOTE", "paraphrase": "Pop Heist supplies a 6-4 secondary result reconstruction and individual voter map.", "limit": "Cannot override the official Paramount+ recap's 5-4 statement or authorize an exact voter map.", "context": "EDITORIAL_RECONSTRUCTION", "wave": "EW-S51E02-EARLY-RETRO-v02" }, { "evidence_id": "EVD-S51E02-033", "source_id": "SRC-S51E02-INSIDE-STATS", "paraphrase": "Inside Survivor reports a 6-4 vote statistic.", "limit": "Cannot override the official Paramount+ recap's 5-4 statement or authorize an exact voter map.", "context": "EDITORIAL_RECONSTRUCTION", "wave": "EW-S51E02-EARLY-RETRO-v02" } ], "sources": [ { "id": "SRC-S51E02-CBS-EP", "title": "Survivor S51 E2 | Weaponized Honesty", "publisher": "CBS", "url": "https://www.cbs.com/shows/video/ALVE01M2GC89QXEVP8KN7RD22EMXYG/", "publication_date": "2026-09-30", "status": "INCLUDED", "context": "EPISODE_EDIT" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-PPLUS-EP", "title": "Survivor Season 51 Episode 2: Weaponized Honesty", "publisher": "Paramount+", "url": "https://www.paramountplus.com/shows/video/ALVE01M2GC89QXEVP8KN7RD22EMXYG/", "publication_date": "2026-09-30", "status": "INCLUDED", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-PPLUS-RECAP", "title": "Survivor Season 51 Episode 2 Recap", "publisher": "Paramount+", "url": "https://www.paramountplus.com/sneak-peak/survivor-season-51-episode-2-recap/", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-TVLINE-RECAP", "title": "Survivor 51 Recap, Episode 2: Ana Voted Out", "publisher": "TVLine", "url": "https://www.tvline.com/2273869/survivor-51-recap-episode-2-ana-voted-out/", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-INSIDE-RECAP", "title": "Survivor 51 Episode 2 Recap: One and a Half Thumbs Up", "publisher": "Inside Survivor", "url": "https://insidesurvivor.com/survivor-51-episode-2-recap-one-and-a-half-thumbs-up-61776", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-TVLINE-ANA", "title": "Ana Sani Survivor 51 Episode 2 Exit Interview", "publisher": "Ana Sani / TVLine", "url": "https://www.tvline.com/2274629/survivor-51-episode-2-ana-sani-exit-interview/", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED", "context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-TVINSIDER-ANA", "title": "Ana Sani Exit Interview", "publisher": "Ana Sani / TV Insider", "url": "https://www.tvinsider.com/1294360/survivor-51-episode-2-exit-interview-ana-sani-rob-antonson-brady-booker-thumb/", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED", "context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-SHARON-ANA", "title": "The Exclusive with Sharon Tharp: Ana Sani", "publisher": "Ana Sani / Sharon Tharp", "url": "https://podfollow.com/the-exclusive-with-sharon-tharp/episode/69ce3d8addb13c46e7f17f8ee821139dc51420d9/view", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED", "context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-PROBST-CONTEXT", "title": "Jeff Probst production context reproduced in TVLine recap", "publisher": "Jeff Probst / CBS production, reproduced by TVLine", "url": "https://www.tvline.com/2273869/survivor-51-recap-episode-2-ana-voted-out/", "publication_date": "2026-09-30", "status": "INCLUDED", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-SURVIVOR-DATASET", "title": "survivoR repository", "publisher": "doehm / GitHub", "url": "https://github.com/doehm/survivoR", "publication_date": "CURRENT_REPOSITORY", "status": "REFERENCE_ONLY", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-SUBTITLECAT", "title": "Survivor S51E02 English subtitle page", "publisher": "SubtitleCat", "url": "https://www.subtitlecat.com/subs/1709/Survivor.S51E02.en.html", "publication_date": "DATE_UNKNOWN", "status": "DISCOVERY_AND_RETRIEVAL", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-REDDIT", "title": "Survivor 51 Episode 2 Post-Episode Discussion", "publisher": "r/survivor community", "url": "https://www.reddit.com/r/survivor/comments/1wumnvh/survivor_51_e2_postepisode_discussion/", "publication_date": "2026-09-30", "status": "DISCOVERY_ONLY", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-USMAG-ANA-CARTER", "title": "Survivor 51's Ana and Carter Prove Opposites Attract While Creating Secret Alliance in Unaired Scene (Exclusive)", "publisher": "Ana Sani and Carter Krull, quoted by Us Magazine", "url": "https://www.usmagazine.com/entertainment/news/survivor-unaired-scene-highlights-ana-and-carters-alliance/", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED_RETROSPECTIVE", "context": "IN_GAME_INTERVIEW_AND_PLAYER_TO_PLAYER_STRATEGIC_SPEECH" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-TVINSIDER-PROBST", "title": "Survivor 51: Jeff Probst on Rule Violation That Forced Producer Intervention in Episode 2", "publisher": "Jeff Probst Field Notes reproduced by TV Insider", "url": "https://www.tvinsider.com/1294266/survivor-51-episode-2-recap-jeff-probst-reaction-rob-vote-himself/", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED_RETROSPECTIVE_CORROBORATION", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-PARADE-ANA", "title": "Parade Ana Sani exit interview", "publisher": "Ana Sani / interview publisher", "url": "https://parade.com/tv/ana-sani-survivor-51-eliminated-interview", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "DISCOVERY_ONLY_DEDUPED", "context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-RHAP-ANA", "title": "RHAP Survivor 51 Episode 2 exit interview", "publisher": "Ana Sani / interview publisher", "url": "https://podcastrex.com/shows/rhap-we-know-survivor/survivor-51-ep-2-exit-interview", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "DISCOVERY_ONLY_DEDUPED", "context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-RINGER-ANA", "title": "The Ringer Episode 2 exit interview", "publisher": "Ana Sani / interview publisher", "url": "https://www.theringer.com/podcasts/the-pod-has-spoken/2026/10/01/survivor-51-episode-2-exit-interview", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "DISCOVERY_ONLY_DEDUPED", "context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-MENSJOURNAL-ANA", "title": "Men's Journal Ana Sani exit interview", "publisher": "Ana Sani / interview publisher", "url": "https://www.mensjournal.com/entertainment/survivor-51-ana-sani-exit-interview-exclusive", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "DISCOVERY_ONLY_DEDUPED", "context": "POST_GAME_INTERVIEW" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-TDT-VOTE", "title": "True Dork Times Season 51 boxscores", "publisher": "True Dork Times", "url": "https://truedorktimes.com/s51/boxscores/index.htm", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED_RETROSPECTIVE_CONFLICT_CONTEXT", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-POPHEIST-VOTE", "title": "Pop Heist Survivor 51 Episode 2 recap", "publisher": "Pop Heist Survivor", "url": "https://popheist.com/survivor-51x02-recap-weaponized-honesty", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED_RETROSPECTIVE_CONFLICT_CONTEXT", "context": "" }, { "id": "SRC-S51E02-INSIDE-STATS", "title": "Inside Survivor Episode 2 stats", "publisher": "Inside Survivor Episode", "url": "https://insidesurvivor.com/survivor-51-episode-2-stats-61781", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "status": "INCLUDED_RETROSPECTIVE_CONFLICT_CONTEXT", "context": "" } ], "resources": [ { "id": "jelly-idol", "title": "Jelly’s idol stayed in her pocket.", "text": "Jelly found an active idol and told Patt. The disclosure changed his response; the unplayed idol did not change any ballots.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-010", "EVD-S51E02-011" ] }, { "id": "rob-idol", "title": "Rob’s rescue never used the idol.", "text": "Rob held an active idol but did not play it. Reports about his intended rescue do not turn that unexecuted plan into a formal use.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-017", "EVD-S51E02-020" ] }, { "id": "eric-sitd", "title": "Eric kept his vote.", "text": "Eric did not activate Shot in the Dark. The record does not establish his private reason, so we do not credit Rob with persuading him to keep it.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-019", "EVD-S51E02-020" ] }, { "id": "toka-immunity", "title": "Toka won safety as a tribe.", "text": "Toka won reward and immunity. Lewis joined Toka in this episode. Those results belong to the game story; they are not individual Power uses.", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-006", "EVD-S51E02-007", "EVD-S51E02-014" ] } ], "later": [ { "id": "ana-carter", "title": "Ana and Carter had a bond. It did not keep her safe.", "text": "An unaired-scene report published October 1 shows Carter treating Ana as his trusted go-to and committing to play with her. Ana describes telling him everything and needing him, and the pair make a No. 1/endgame commitment. The accepted October 3 update records a relationship effect in each direction. Ana still left; the scene does not show either player controlling the wider vote.", "limit": "The article’s words were verified; the embedded clip was not directly played. Exact scene order, lasting protection and vote control remain unestablished.", "url": "https://www.usmagazine.com/entertainment/news/survivor-unaired-scene-highlights-ana-and-carters-alliance/", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-027", "EVD-S51E02-028", "EVD-S51E02-029" ] }, { "id": "probst", "title": "The producer stopped Rob’s self-vote.", "text": "Probst’s later Field Notes support the occurrence of the attempted self-vote and the rule intervention. They do not add a successful use for Rob or resolve Eric’s reasoning.", "limit": "This is later corroboration, separate from the private words missing from the captions.", "url": "https://www.tvinsider.com/1294266/survivor-51-episode-2-recap-jeff-probst-reaction-rob-vote-himself/", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-030" ] }, { "id": "ana-interviews", "title": "Several interviews, one Ana.", "text": "Ana’s exit interviews give her account of the relationships and Rob’s reported plan. More outlets repeating that account do not create more independent witnesses.", "limit": "Her account does not prove another player’s private motive. The added interview publications carry no extra independent weight.", "url": "https://www.tvline.com/2274629/survivor-51-episode-2-ana-sani-exit-interview/", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-024", "EVD-S51E02-025", "EVD-S51E02-026" ] }, { "id": "tally", "title": "More 6–4 reports do not settle the tally.", "text": "Three later secondary reconstructions agree with the caption read of 6–4. The official recap still reports 5–4, and none of those reconstructions is an authoritative CBS vote chart.", "limit": "The exact split and individual voter map stay unresolved.", "url": "https://www.paramountplus.com/sneak-peak/survivor-season-51-episode-2-recap/", "evidence_ids": [ "EVD-S51E02-021", "EVD-S51E02-031", "EVD-S51E02-032", "EVD-S51E02-033" ] } ], "editorial_models": [ { "id": "H05", "author": "Andy Dehnart", "outlet": "reality blurred", "url": "https://www.realityblurred.com/realitytv/2026/09/survivor-51-episode-2-weaponized-honesty-recap/", "publication_date": "2026-09-30", "modified_date": "2026-10-03", "collection_date": "2026-10-12", "genre": "recap and criticism", "access": "Article body and comments read.", "authorship_basis": "Named byline and site declaration of human-crafted content; declaration, not independent production audit.", "excerpt": "But just like Big Brother, the pawn went home.", "reader_note": "Concrete choices, quick consequences, and a clear point of view. Its insults and motive guesses are not game evidence.", "comparison": "The opening and Ana card connect a decoy offer to the result without copying the writer’s phrasing. The Rob question retains reader confusion but answers with Eric’s recorded refusal; it avoids the writer’s ridicule and private-motive certainty." }, { "id": "H08", "author": "Cory Gage", "outlet": "Inside Survivor", "url": "https://insidesurvivor.com/survivor-51-episode-2-recap-one-and-a-half-thumbs-up-61776", "publication_date": "2026-10-01", "collection_date": "2026-10-12", "genre": "recap and criticism", "access": "Article body read through the target change and Tribal sequence.", "authorship_basis": "Named byline and author archive. No independent proof of human-only production.", "excerpt": "Ana really got the chaos she wanted", "reader_note": "Follow who tells whom and what happens next. Its exact vote map and motive assertions are not adopted.", "comparison": "Alexis, Linnea and Sharonda have different verbs and different supported responses. The Jelly card distinguishes finding from telling; it avoids importing the recap’s claim of a secure new majority." } ], "votes": { "eliminated": "Ana", "survived": "Eric", "tally_status": "SOURCE_CONFLICT", "exact_tally": null, "voter_map": null }, "provenance": { "outputs/survivor-s51e02-phase2-v01/RPM_Survivor_S51E02_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_1.xlsx": "1e8d5ee732e1abbb07ddf5fef36aaf28111bc5c60bc8c31f1a7f584fb2961431", "outputs/survivor-s51e02-retrospective-wave-v02/RPM_Survivor_S51E02_Retrospective_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx": "190052252c6acb46dc63881fd3c950a25a7bca38769c46c2ec8dd39186426858", "outputs/survivor-s51e01-phase2-v02/RPM_Survivor_S51E01_Phase2_Qualitative_Analysis_Candidate_v0_2.xlsx": "7a4e9194c2554a9965f14129e0465dbd06b78b57578cd2558e2728953e15d978" }, "numeric_player_scores": [], "ranks": [], "probabilities": [], "predictions": [] }